Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00704-015-1481-3 |
Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010 | |
Shao, Yuehong1; Wu, Junmei1,2; Ye, Jinyin3; Liu, Yonghe4 | |
通讯作者 | Shao, Yuehong |
来源期刊 | THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0177-798X |
EISSN | 1434-4483 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 121期号:3-4页码:775-787 |
英文摘要 | This study investigates frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes based on annual maximum of daily precipitation (AMP) data of 753 observation stations in China during the period 1951-2010. Several statistical methods including L-moments, Mann-Kendall test (MK test), Student’s t test (t test) and analysis of variance (F-test) are used to study different statistical properties related to frequency and spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes. The results indicate that the AMP series of most sites have no linear trends at 90 % confidence level, but there is a distinctive decrease trend in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region. The analysis of abrupt changes shows that there are no significant changes in most sites, and no distinctive regional patterns within the mutation sites either. An important innovation different from the previous studies is the shift in the mean and the variance which are also studied in this paper in order to further analyze the changes of strong and weak precipitation extreme events. The shift analysis shows that we should pay more attention to the drought in North China and to the flood control and drought in South China, especially to those regions that have no clear trend and have a significant shift in the variance. More important, this study conducts the comprehensive analysis of a complete set of quantile estimates and its spatiotemporal characteristic in China. Spatial distribution of quantile estimation based on the AMP series demonstrated that the values gradually increased from the Northwest to the Southeast with the increment of duration and return period, while the increasing rate of estimation is smooth in the arid and semiarid region and is rapid in humid region. Frequency estimates of 50-year return period are in agreement with the maximum observations of AMP series in the most stations, which can provide more quantitative and scientific basis for decision making. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000359055800028 |
WOS关键词 | SUMMER PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE EXTREMES ; CHANGING CLIMATE ; TRENDS ; RAINFALL ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATIONS ; MONSOON ; FLOODS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源机构 | 南京信息工程大学 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/190637 |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Appl Hydrometeorol Res Inst, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Kunshan Meteorol Bereaus, Kunshan 215300, Peoples R China; 3.Huaihe River Basin Meteorol Ctr, Bengbu 233040, Peoples R China; 4.Henan Polytech Univ, Inst Resources & Environm, Jiaozuo 454000, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shao, Yuehong,Wu, Junmei,Ye, Jinyin,et al. Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010[J]. 南京信息工程大学,2015,121(3-4):775-787. |
APA | Shao, Yuehong,Wu, Junmei,Ye, Jinyin,&Liu, Yonghe.(2015).Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,121(3-4),775-787. |
MLA | Shao, Yuehong,et al."Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 121.3-4(2015):775-787. |
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