Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-015-1481-3
Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010
Shao, Yuehong1; Wu, Junmei1,2; Ye, Jinyin3; Liu, Yonghe4
通讯作者Shao, Yuehong
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2015
卷号121期号:3-4页码:775-787
英文摘要

This study investigates frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes based on annual maximum of daily precipitation (AMP) data of 753 observation stations in China during the period 1951-2010. Several statistical methods including L-moments, Mann-Kendall test (MK test), Student’s t test (t test) and analysis of variance (F-test) are used to study different statistical properties related to frequency and spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extremes. The results indicate that the AMP series of most sites have no linear trends at 90 % confidence level, but there is a distinctive decrease trend in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region. The analysis of abrupt changes shows that there are no significant changes in most sites, and no distinctive regional patterns within the mutation sites either. An important innovation different from the previous studies is the shift in the mean and the variance which are also studied in this paper in order to further analyze the changes of strong and weak precipitation extreme events. The shift analysis shows that we should pay more attention to the drought in North China and to the flood control and drought in South China, especially to those regions that have no clear trend and have a significant shift in the variance. More important, this study conducts the comprehensive analysis of a complete set of quantile estimates and its spatiotemporal characteristic in China. Spatial distribution of quantile estimation based on the AMP series demonstrated that the values gradually increased from the Northwest to the Southeast with the increment of duration and return period, while the increasing rate of estimation is smooth in the arid and semiarid region and is rapid in humid region. Frequency estimates of 50-year return period are in agreement with the maximum observations of AMP series in the most stations, which can provide more quantitative and scientific basis for decision making.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000359055800028
WOS关键词SUMMER PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE EXTREMES ; CHANGING CLIMATE ; TRENDS ; RAINFALL ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATIONS ; MONSOON ; FLOODS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构南京信息工程大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/190637
作者单位1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Appl Hydrometeorol Res Inst, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
2.Kunshan Meteorol Bereaus, Kunshan 215300, Peoples R China;
3.Huaihe River Basin Meteorol Ctr, Bengbu 233040, Peoples R China;
4.Henan Polytech Univ, Inst Resources & Environm, Jiaozuo 454000, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shao, Yuehong,Wu, Junmei,Ye, Jinyin,et al. Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010[J]. 南京信息工程大学,2015,121(3-4):775-787.
APA Shao, Yuehong,Wu, Junmei,Ye, Jinyin,&Liu, Yonghe.(2015).Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,121(3-4),775-787.
MLA Shao, Yuehong,et al."Frequency analysis and its spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation extreme events in China during 1951-2010".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 121.3-4(2015):775-787.
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