Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-014-1225-9
Long-term variation analysis of a tropical river’s annual streamflow regime over a 50-year period
Seyam, Mohammed; Othman, Faridah
通讯作者Othman, Faridah
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2015
卷号121期号:1-2页码:71-85
英文摘要

Studying the long-term changes of streamflow is an important tool for enhancing water resource and river system planning, design, and management. The aim of this work is to identify the long-term variations in annual streamflow regime over a 50-year period from 1961 to 2010 in the Selangor River, which is one of the main tropical rivers in Malaysia. Initially, the data underwent preliminary independence, normality, and homogeneity testing using the Pearson correlation coefficient and Shapiro-Wilk and Pettitt’s tests, respectively. The work includes a study and analysis of the changes through nine variables describing the annual streamflow and variations in the yearly duration of high and low streamflows. The analyses were conducted via two time scales: yearly and sub-periodic. The sub-periods were obtained by segmenting the 50 years into seven sub-periods by two techniques, namely the change-point test and direct method. Even though analysis revealed nearly negligible changes in mean annual flow over the study period, the maximum annual flow generally increased while the minimum annual flow significantly decreased with respect to time. It was also observed that the variables describing the dispersion in streamflow continually increased with respect to time. An obvious increase was detected in the yearly duration of danger level of streamflow, a slight increase was noted in the yearly duration of warning and alert levels, and a slight decrease in the yearly duration of low streamflow was found. The perceived changes validate the existence of long-term changes in annual streamflow regime, which increase the probability of floods and droughts occurring in future. In light of the results, attention should be drawn to developing water resource management and flood protection plans in order to avert the harmful effects potentially resulting from the expected changes in annual streamflow regime.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Malaysia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000356539300007
WOS关键词SEGMENTATION PROCEDURE ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; FLOW REGIME ; ARID REGION ; TRENDS ; NORMALITY ; BASIN ; PRECIPITATION ; HOMOGENEITY ; TESTS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/190635
作者单位Univ Malaya, Fac Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Kuala Lumpur 50603, Malaysia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Seyam, Mohammed,Othman, Faridah. Long-term variation analysis of a tropical river’s annual streamflow regime over a 50-year period[J],2015,121(1-2):71-85.
APA Seyam, Mohammed,&Othman, Faridah.(2015).Long-term variation analysis of a tropical river’s annual streamflow regime over a 50-year period.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,121(1-2),71-85.
MLA Seyam, Mohammed,et al."Long-term variation analysis of a tropical river’s annual streamflow regime over a 50-year period".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 121.1-2(2015):71-85.
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