Arid
DOI10.1016/j.pce.2015.07.012
Effects of adjusting cropping systems on utilization efficiency of climatic resources in Northeast China under future climate scenarios
Guo, Jianping1; Zhao, Junfang1; Xu, Yanhong2; Chu, Zheng1; Mu, Jia1; Zhao, Qian1
通讯作者Zhao, Junfang
来源期刊PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH
ISSN1474-7065
EISSN1873-5193
出版年2015
卷号87-88页码:87-96
英文摘要

Quantitatively evaluating the effects of adjusting cropping systems on the utilization efficiency of climatic resources under climate change is an important task for assessing food security in China. To understand these effects, we used daily climate variables obtained from the regional climate model RegCM3 from 1981 to 2100 under the A1B scenario and crop observations from 53 agro-meteorological experimental stations from 1981 to 2010 in Northeast China. Three one-grade zones of cropping systems were divided by heat, water, topography and crop-type, including the semi-arid areas of the northeast and northwest (III), the one crop area of warm-cool plants in semi-humid plain or hilly regions of the northeast (IV), and the two crop area in irrigated farmland in the Huanghuaihai Plain (VI). An agro-ecological zone model was used to calculate climatic potential productivities. The effects of adjusting cropping systems on climate resource utilization in Northeast China under the A1B scenario were assessed. The results indicated that from 1981 to 2100 in the III, IV and VI areas, the planting boundaries of different cropping systems in Northeast China obviously shifted toward the north and the east based on comprehensively considering the heat and precipitation resources. However, due to high temperature stress, the climatic potential productivity of spring maize was reduced in the future. Therefore, adjusting the cropping system is an effective way to improve the climatic potential productivity and climate resource utilization. Replacing the one crop in one year model (spring maize) by the two crops in one year model (winter wheat and summer maize) significantly increased the total climatic potential productivity and average utilization efficiencies. During the periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100, the average total climatic potential productivities of winter wheat and summer maize increased by 9.36%, 11.88% and 12.13% compared to that of spring maize, respectively. Additionally, compared with spring maize, the average utilization efficiencies of thermal resources of winter wheat and summer maize dramatically increased by 9.2%, 12.1% and 12.0%, respectively. The increases in the average utilization efficiencies of precipitation resources of winter wheat and summer maize were 1.78 kg hm(-2) mm(-1), 2.07 kg hm(-2) mm(-1) and 1.92 kg hm(-2) mm(-1) during 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100, respectively. Our findings highlight that adjusting cropping systems can dominantly contribute to utilization efficiency increases of agricultural climatic resources in Northeast China in the future. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Adjusting cropping systems Utilization efficiency of climatic resources Effect Northeast China Future climate scenario
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000367697200011
WOS关键词SPRING MAIZE ; YIELD ; CULTIVATION ; RESPONSES
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/189595
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, Beijing 10081, Peoples R China;
2.Luoyang Meteorol Adm, Luoyang 471000, Henan, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Guo, Jianping,Zhao, Junfang,Xu, Yanhong,et al. Effects of adjusting cropping systems on utilization efficiency of climatic resources in Northeast China under future climate scenarios[J],2015,87-88:87-96.
APA Guo, Jianping,Zhao, Junfang,Xu, Yanhong,Chu, Zheng,Mu, Jia,&Zhao, Qian.(2015).Effects of adjusting cropping systems on utilization efficiency of climatic resources in Northeast China under future climate scenarios.PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH,87-88,87-96.
MLA Guo, Jianping,et al."Effects of adjusting cropping systems on utilization efficiency of climatic resources in Northeast China under future climate scenarios".PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH 87-88(2015):87-96.
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