Arid
DOI10.1007/s11069-015-1812-9
Uncertainty analysis for extreme flood events in a semi-arid region
Mirzaei, Majid1; Huang, Yuk Feng1; El-Shafie, Ahmed2; Chimeh, Tayebeh3; Lee, Juneseok3; Vaizadeh, Nariman2; Adamowski, Jan4
通讯作者Mirzaei, Majid
来源期刊NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN0921-030X
EISSN1573-0840
出版年2015
卷号78期号:3页码:1947-1960
英文摘要

Extreme flood events are complex and inherently uncertain phenomenons. Consequently forecasts of floods are inherently uncertain in nature due to various sources of uncertainty including model uncertainty, input uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. This paper investigates two types of natural and model uncertainties in extreme rainfall-runoff events in a semi-arid region. Natural uncertainty is incorporated in the distribution function of the series of annual maximum daily rainfall, and model uncertainty is an epistemic uncertainty source. The kinematic runoff and erosion model was used for rainfall-runoff simulation. The model calibration scheme is carried out under the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation framework to quantify uncertainty in the rainfall-runoff modeling process. Uncertainties of the rainfall depths-associated with depth duration frequency curves-were estimated with the bootstrap sampling method and described by a normal probability density function. These uncertainties are presented in the rainfall-runoff modeling for investigation of uncertainty effects on extreme hydrological events discharge and can be embedded into guidelines for risk-based design and management of urban water infrastructure.


英文关键词Flood Uncertainty GLUE Bootstrap sampling GEV
类型Article
语种英语
国家Malaysia ; USA ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000358410300025
WOS关键词PARAMETER-ESTIMATION ; GLUE METHODOLOGY ; CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS ; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS ; CALIBRATION ; INCOHERENCE ; RIVER ; PRECIPITATION ; PREDICTION ; RUNOFF
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/189318
作者单位1.Univ Tuanku Abdul Rahman, Fac Engn & Sci, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia;
2.Univ Kebangsaan Malaysia, Fac Engn & Built Environm, Bangi 43600, Malaysia;
3.San Jose State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, San Jose, CA 95192 USA;
4.McGill Univ, Fac Agr & Environm Sci, Dept Bioresource Engn, Ste Anne De Bellevue, PQ H9X 3V9, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mirzaei, Majid,Huang, Yuk Feng,El-Shafie, Ahmed,et al. Uncertainty analysis for extreme flood events in a semi-arid region[J],2015,78(3):1947-1960.
APA Mirzaei, Majid.,Huang, Yuk Feng.,El-Shafie, Ahmed.,Chimeh, Tayebeh.,Lee, Juneseok.,...&Adamowski, Jan.(2015).Uncertainty analysis for extreme flood events in a semi-arid region.NATURAL HAZARDS,78(3),1947-1960.
MLA Mirzaei, Majid,et al."Uncertainty analysis for extreme flood events in a semi-arid region".NATURAL HAZARDS 78.3(2015):1947-1960.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
Uncertainty analysis(1803KB)期刊论文出版稿开放获取CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Mirzaei, Majid]的文章
[Huang, Yuk Feng]的文章
[El-Shafie, Ahmed]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Mirzaei, Majid]的文章
[Huang, Yuk Feng]的文章
[El-Shafie, Ahmed]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Mirzaei, Majid]的文章
[Huang, Yuk Feng]的文章
[El-Shafie, Ahmed]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: Uncertainty analysis for extreme flood events in a semi-arid region.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。