Arid
DOI10.1007/s11069-014-1492-x
Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses
Zamani, Reza1; Tabari, Hossein2; Willems, Patrick2,3
通讯作者Tabari, Hossein
来源期刊NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN0921-030X
EISSN1573-0840
出版年2015
卷号76期号:1页码:327-346
英文摘要

Analysis of droughts from both the regional and probabilistic points of view is crucial in drought-prone arid and semiarid lands. In this work, the probabilistic behavior and spatial pattern of extreme hydrological droughts based on the minimum streamflow drought index values at 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-month time scales were analyzed by using L-moments in the Karkheh river basin in the southwest of Iran. The results indicated that for the 3-month time scale, the region was homogenous, while for larger time scales the region was divided into two subregions. For all time scales and subregions, the Pearson Type III and Generalized Pareto distributions provided a better fit to the data than the generalized logistic, generalized extreme value and log-normal distributions. The simulation results of the estimated regional quantiles showed that the accuracy of the quantile estimates decreased as return period increased. Furthermore, higher probability of severe droughts is expected at regional scale compared with site scale.


英文关键词Hydrological drought L-moments Homogeneity measure Statistical distribution Quantile estimation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran ; Belgium
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000350326200018
WOS关键词L-MOMENTS ; FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHT ; INDEX ; RAINFALL ; SERIES
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/189312
作者单位1.Shahid Chamran Univ Ahvaz, Fac Water Sci Engn, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Engn, Ahwaz, Iran;
2.Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Civil Engn, Hydraul Div, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium;
3.Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium
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Zamani, Reza,Tabari, Hossein,Willems, Patrick. Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses[J],2015,76(1):327-346.
APA Zamani, Reza,Tabari, Hossein,&Willems, Patrick.(2015).Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses.NATURAL HAZARDS,76(1),327-346.
MLA Zamani, Reza,et al."Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses".NATURAL HAZARDS 76.1(2015):327-346.
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