Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s11069-014-1492-x |
Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses | |
Zamani, Reza1; Tabari, Hossein2; Willems, Patrick2,3 | |
通讯作者 | Tabari, Hossein |
来源期刊 | NATURAL HAZARDS
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ISSN | 0921-030X |
EISSN | 1573-0840 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 76期号:1页码:327-346 |
英文摘要 | Analysis of droughts from both the regional and probabilistic points of view is crucial in drought-prone arid and semiarid lands. In this work, the probabilistic behavior and spatial pattern of extreme hydrological droughts based on the minimum streamflow drought index values at 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-month time scales were analyzed by using L-moments in the Karkheh river basin in the southwest of Iran. The results indicated that for the 3-month time scale, the region was homogenous, while for larger time scales the region was divided into two subregions. For all time scales and subregions, the Pearson Type III and Generalized Pareto distributions provided a better fit to the data than the generalized logistic, generalized extreme value and log-normal distributions. The simulation results of the estimated regional quantiles showed that the accuracy of the quantile estimates decreased as return period increased. Furthermore, higher probability of severe droughts is expected at regional scale compared with site scale. |
英文关键词 | Hydrological drought L-moments Homogeneity measure Statistical distribution Quantile estimation |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Iran ; Belgium |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000350326200018 |
WOS关键词 | L-MOMENTS ; FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHT ; INDEX ; RAINFALL ; SERIES |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/189312 |
作者单位 | 1.Shahid Chamran Univ Ahvaz, Fac Water Sci Engn, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Engn, Ahwaz, Iran; 2.Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Civil Engn, Hydraul Div, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium; 3.Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zamani, Reza,Tabari, Hossein,Willems, Patrick. Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses[J],2015,76(1):327-346. |
APA | Zamani, Reza,Tabari, Hossein,&Willems, Patrick.(2015).Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses.NATURAL HAZARDS,76(1),327-346. |
MLA | Zamani, Reza,et al."Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses".NATURAL HAZARDS 76.1(2015):327-346. |
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