Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.04.073
Extreme Learning Machines: A new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration
Abdullah, Shafika Sultan1,6; Malek, M. A.1; Abdullah, Namiq Sultan2; Kisi, Ozgur3; Yap, Keem Siah4,5
通讯作者Abdullah, Shafika Sultan
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2015
卷号527页码:184-195
英文摘要

Recognizing the importance of precise determination of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is a principal step in the attempts to reserve huge quantities of squandered water. This paper investigates the efficiency of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM) algorithm at predicting Penman-Monteith (P-M) ET0 for Mosul, Baghdad, and Basrah meteorological stations, located at the north, mid, and southern part of Iraq. Data of weather parameters containing maximum air temperature (T-max), minimum air temperature (T-min), sunshine hours (R-n), relative humidity (R-h), and wind speed (U-2) for the period (2000-2013) are used as inputs to the ELM model by using four different input cases including complete and incomplete sets of meteorological data. The performance of ELM model is compared with the empirical P-M equation and with feedforward backpropagation (FFBP) model. The evaluation criteria used for comparison are the root of mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R-2). The statistical results of both models are found to be encouraging; particularly results of running the ELM model with incomplete sets of data, noticing that the sensitivity of the proposed model to missing data changes from one location to another, as well as along the year for certain study location. The R-n is found to be the most effective parameter in Mosul Station, while U-2 and R-h are found to act almost in parallel with R-n in Baghdad Station, and for conditions of Basrah Station; U-2 and R-h prove to be the dominant parameters. The minimum and maximum time intervals required for running ELM model for all stations, and in all applied conditions, are (4.64-6.19) seconds respectively, while the same order of timing required for running the FFBP model is (6.30-27.80) seconds. The maximum R-2 recorded for the ELM model is 0.991, while for the FFBP it is 0.985. The ELM proved to be efficient, simple in application, of high speed, and has very good generalization performance; therefore, this algorithm is highly recommended for locations similar to the geographical and meteorological conditions of Iraq that consists of both arid and semiarid regions. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Reference evapotranspiration Penman-Monteith equation Extreme Learning Machines Artificial Neural Networks
类型Article
语种英语
国家Malaysia ; Iraq ; Turkey
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000358629100018
WOS关键词NEURAL-NETWORKS ; CLASSIFICATION ; MODELS
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/188788
作者单位1.Univ Tenaga Nas, Dept Civil Engn, Kajang 43000, Selangor, Malaysia;
2.Univ Duhok, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Duhok, Iraq;
3.Canik Basari Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Fac Engn & Architecture, Samsun, Turkey;
4.Univ Tenaga Nas, Dept Elect & Commun Engn, Kajang 43000, Selangor, Malaysia;
5.Univ Tenaga Nas, Coll Grad Studies, Kajang 43000, Selangor, Malaysia;
6.Dohuk Polytech Univ, Akre Tech Inst, Dohuk, Iraq
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Abdullah, Shafika Sultan,Malek, M. A.,Abdullah, Namiq Sultan,et al. Extreme Learning Machines: A new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration[J],2015,527:184-195.
APA Abdullah, Shafika Sultan,Malek, M. A.,Abdullah, Namiq Sultan,Kisi, Ozgur,&Yap, Keem Siah.(2015).Extreme Learning Machines: A new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,527,184-195.
MLA Abdullah, Shafika Sultan,et al."Extreme Learning Machines: A new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 527(2015):184-195.
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