Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.11.033
Assessment of global aridity change
Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi1; Sivakumar, Bellie1,2; Sharma, Ashish1
通讯作者Sivakumar, Bellie
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2015
卷号520页码:300-313
英文摘要

The growing demand for water and the anticipated impacts of climate change necessitate a more reliable assessment of water availability for proper planning and management. Adequate understanding of the past changes in water resources availability can offer crucial information about potential changes in the future. Aridity is a reliable representation of potential water availability, especially at large scales. The present study investigates the changes in global aridity since 1960. The study considers the UNESCO aridity index, with aridity being represented as a function of its two key drivers: precipitation (P) and potential evapotranspiration (PET). First, published literature on changes in trends of P, PET, and aridity across the world is surveyed. This is followed by the analysis of trends in the aridity observations over the period 1960-2009. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test is performed for trend analysis and outcomes investigated for the presence of clusters of trend across different grid-cells the analysis is conducted over. The results suggest that arid zones are becoming slightly more humid and vice versa. They also indicate that the trend in aridity changed, or even reversed, around 1980 in most parts of the world. We speculate that the reason for this was the dramatic change (rise) in global temperature around 1980 as per both published literature and the present analysis, which, in turn, caused similar trends for global PET. We also call for additional research to verify, and possibly confirm, the present results. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Aridity Climate change Precipitation Potential evapotranspiration Trend Clustering
类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000348255900025
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; PRECIPITATION TRENDS ; PAN EVAPORATION ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIATIONS ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; WATER-RESOURCES
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构University of California, Davis
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/188759
作者单位1.Univ New S Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia;
2.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Land Air & Water Resources, Davis, CA 95616 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi,Sivakumar, Bellie,Sharma, Ashish. Assessment of global aridity change[J]. University of California, Davis,2015,520:300-313.
APA Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi,Sivakumar, Bellie,&Sharma, Ashish.(2015).Assessment of global aridity change.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,520,300-313.
MLA Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi,et al."Assessment of global aridity change".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 520(2015):300-313.
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