Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jher.2014.06.001
Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions
Jeong, Changsam1; Lee, Taesam2
通讯作者Lee, Taesam
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH
ISSN1570-6443
EISSN1876-4444
出版年2015
卷号9期号:4页码:604-613
英文摘要

Streamflow is often intermittent in arid and semi-arid regions. Stochastically simulated data play a key role in managing water resources with intermittent streamfiows. The stochastic modeling of intermittent streamflow that incorporates the seasonality of key statistics is a difficult task. In the current study, the product model was tested to simulate the intermittent monthly streamflow by employing the periodic Markov chain (PMC) model for occurrence and the periodic gamma autoregressive (PGAR) and copula models for amount. The copula models were tested in a previous study for the simulation of yearly streamflow, resulting in successful replication of the key and operational statistics of historical data; however, the copula models have never been tested on a monthly time scale. The intermittent models were applied to the Colorado River system in the present study. A few drawbacks of the PGAR model were identified, such as significant underestimation of minimum values on an aggregated yearly time scale and restrictions of the parameter boundaries. Conversely, the copula models do not present such drawbacks but show feasible reproduction of key and operational statistics. We concluded that the copula models combined with the PMC model is a feasible method for the simulation of intermittent monthly streamflow time series. (C) 2014 International Association for Hydro-environment Engineering and Research, Asia Pacific Division. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Copula Drought Intermittency Periodic Markov chain Seasonal streamflow Stochastic simulation
类型Article
语种英语
国家South Korea
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000366780000012
WOS关键词AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES ; PRECIPITATION ; DESIGN ; SERIES ; RIVER
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/188748
作者单位1.Induk Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seoul 139052, South Korea;
2.Gyeongsang Natl Univ, ERI, Dept Civil Engn, Jinju 660701, Gyeongnam, South Korea
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Jeong, Changsam,Lee, Taesam. Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions[J],2015,9(4):604-613.
APA Jeong, Changsam,&Lee, Taesam.(2015).Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions.JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH,9(4),604-613.
MLA Jeong, Changsam,et al."Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions".JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH 9.4(2015):604-613.
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