Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jher.2014.06.001 |
Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions | |
Jeong, Changsam1; Lee, Taesam2 | |
通讯作者 | Lee, Taesam |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH
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ISSN | 1570-6443 |
EISSN | 1876-4444 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 9期号:4页码:604-613 |
英文摘要 | Streamflow is often intermittent in arid and semi-arid regions. Stochastically simulated data play a key role in managing water resources with intermittent streamfiows. The stochastic modeling of intermittent streamflow that incorporates the seasonality of key statistics is a difficult task. In the current study, the product model was tested to simulate the intermittent monthly streamflow by employing the periodic Markov chain (PMC) model for occurrence and the periodic gamma autoregressive (PGAR) and copula models for amount. The copula models were tested in a previous study for the simulation of yearly streamflow, resulting in successful replication of the key and operational statistics of historical data; however, the copula models have never been tested on a monthly time scale. The intermittent models were applied to the Colorado River system in the present study. A few drawbacks of the PGAR model were identified, such as significant underestimation of minimum values on an aggregated yearly time scale and restrictions of the parameter boundaries. Conversely, the copula models do not present such drawbacks but show feasible reproduction of key and operational statistics. We concluded that the copula models combined with the PMC model is a feasible method for the simulation of intermittent monthly streamflow time series. (C) 2014 International Association for Hydro-environment Engineering and Research, Asia Pacific Division. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Copula Drought Intermittency Periodic Markov chain Seasonal streamflow Stochastic simulation |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | South Korea |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000366780000012 |
WOS关键词 | AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES ; PRECIPITATION ; DESIGN ; SERIES ; RIVER |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/188748 |
作者单位 | 1.Induk Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seoul 139052, South Korea; 2.Gyeongsang Natl Univ, ERI, Dept Civil Engn, Jinju 660701, Gyeongnam, South Korea |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jeong, Changsam,Lee, Taesam. Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions[J],2015,9(4):604-613. |
APA | Jeong, Changsam,&Lee, Taesam.(2015).Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions.JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH,9(4),604-613. |
MLA | Jeong, Changsam,et al."Copula-based modeling and stochastic simulation of seasonal intermittent streamflows for arid regions".JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH 9.4(2015):604-613. |
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