Arid
DOI10.1007/s11442-015-1236-1
Climatic water balance dynamics over the last five decades in Romania’s most arid region, Dobrogea
Bandoc, Georgeta1,2; Pravalie, Remus1,2
通讯作者Bandoc, Georgeta
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN1009-637X
EISSN1861-9568
出版年2015
卷号25期号:11页码:1307-1327
英文摘要

The analysis of a territory’s climatic water balance dynamics against the background of climate change is a key component for increasing water resource management efficiency. The present study aims to analyse climatic water balance (CWB) dynamics in Romania’s most arid region, Dobrogea, located in the southeast. The study covers the 1961-2009 period, and is based on annual and seasonal CWB values (mm), provided by nine weather stations located throughout the region. The study, based on statistical and GIS techniques, is divided into two main stages, both carried out at annual and seasonal scales-trend analysis using the Mann-Kendall test, the Sen’s slope method, and CWB value distribution type analysis. In order to identify the probabilistic types of distributions, four mathematical models were identified-Pearson, Gamma, Chi-Squared and Wakeby, statistically verified with the P-P Plot, Q-Q Plot and Probabillity Difference Graph (PDG) curve tests. Thus, in terms of trends, the results showed a deficit increase especially at the northern stations, mainly for annual values (with a peak in the northeast, where CWB rates reached -3.2 mm/yr). While general CWB declines occurred in winter, spring and summer, apparent decrease rates were found in the northern region (highest negative rates-summer, northwest, -1.4 mm/yr). Autumn is an exception, due to overall increase rates which peaked in the southwest (2.3 mm/yr). However, the entire trend analysis indicated a general lack of statistical significance. The distribution type histogram analysis showed that, annually and seasonally, deficit values are generally dominant (more noticeable in the northern region), except for the winter season, mainly characterized by surplus intervals. Thus, the results suggest a climatic water deficit increase over the last five decades especially in northern Dobrogea, which signals the need for a spatial prioritization targeting a more efficient water resource management, necessary first and foremost for increasing regional agricultural system productivity.


英文关键词Dobrogea climatic water balance temporal trends Mann-Kendall distribution types water deficit climatic changes
类型Article
语种英语
国家Romania
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000360013400003
WOS关键词AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ; TEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS ; FOREST ECOSYSTEMS ; AIR-TEMPERATURE ; PAN EVAPORATION ; LAND-USE ; PRECIPITATION ; TRENDS ; RIVER ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
WOS类目Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向Physical Geography
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/188664
作者单位1.Univ Bucharest, Fac Geog, Dept Meteorol & Hydrol, Bucharest 010041, Romania;
2.Univ Bucharest, Ctr Coastal Res & Environm Protect, Bucharest 010041, Romania
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bandoc, Georgeta,Pravalie, Remus. Climatic water balance dynamics over the last five decades in Romania’s most arid region, Dobrogea[J],2015,25(11):1307-1327.
APA Bandoc, Georgeta,&Pravalie, Remus.(2015).Climatic water balance dynamics over the last five decades in Romania’s most arid region, Dobrogea.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,25(11),1307-1327.
MLA Bandoc, Georgeta,et al."Climatic water balance dynamics over the last five decades in Romania’s most arid region, Dobrogea".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 25.11(2015):1307-1327.
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