Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.4081
Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature indices over South Asia
Sheikh, M. M.1; Manzoor, N.1,2; Ashraf, J.1; Adnan, M.1; Collins, D.3; Hameed, S.4; Manton, M. J.5; Ahmed, A. U.6; Baidya, S. K.7; Borgaonkar, H. P.8; Islam, N.9; Jayasinghearachchi, D.10; Kothawale, D. R.8; Premalal, K. H. M. S.10; Revadekar, J. V.8; Shrestha, M. L.11
通讯作者Sheikh, M. M.
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2015
卷号35期号:7页码:1625-1637
英文摘要

Over the last few decades, weather and climate extremes have become a major focus of researchers, the media and general public due to their damaging effects on human society and infrastructure. Trends in indices of climate extremes are studied for the South Asian region using high-quality records of daily temperature and precipitation observations. Data records from 210 (265) temperature (precipitation) observation stations are analysed over the period 1971-2000 (1961-2000). Spatial maps of station trends, time series of regional averages and frequency distribution analysis form the basis of this study. Due to the highly diverse geography of the South Asian region, the results are also described for some specific regions, such as the island of Sri Lanka; the tropical region (excluding Sri Lanka); the Greater Himalayas above 35 degrees N, the Eastern Himalayas (Nepal) and the Thar Desert. Generally, changes in the frequency of temperature extremes over South Asia are what one would expect in a warming world; warm extremes have become more common and cold extremes less common. The warming influence is greater in the Eastern Himalayas compared with that in the Greater Himalayas. The Thar Desert also shows enhanced warming, but increases are mostly less than in the Eastern Himalayas. Changes in the indices of extreme precipitation are more mixed than those of temperature, with spatially coherent changes evident only at relatively small scales. Nevertheless, most extreme precipitation indices show increases in the South Asia average, consistent with globally averaged results. The indices trends are further studied in the context of Atmospheric Brown Clouds (ABCs) over the region. Countries falling within the ABC hotspot namely Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) have shown a different behaviour on the trends of extreme indices compared with the parts outside this hotspot. IGP has increased temperature and decreased rainfall and tally closely with the actual trends.


英文关键词extreme indices atmospheric brown clouds Indo-Gangetic Plain hotspot
类型Article
语种英语
国家Pakistan ; Australia ; USA ; Bangladesh ; Nepal ; India ; Sri Lanka
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000355953600033
WOS关键词UPPER INDUS BASIN ; CLIMATE EXTREMES ; KARAKORAM HIMALAYA ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; PRECIPITATION ; GLACIER ; SIMULATIONS ; ATMOSPHERE ; IMPACTS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/187957
作者单位1.Global Change Impact Studies Ctr, Climatol Sect, Islamabad, Pakistan;
2.Pakistan Meteorol Dept, Islamabad, Pakistan;
3.Bur Meteorol, Natl Climate Ctr, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
4.SUNY Stony Brook, Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, Inst Terr & Planetary Atmospheres, New York, NY USA;
5.Monash Univ, Fac Sci, Sch Math Sci, Melbourne, Vic 3004, Australia;
6.Ctr Global Change, Dhaka, Bangladesh;
7.Dept Hydrol & Meteorol, Kathmandu, Nepal;
8.Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Pune, Maharashtra, India;
9.SAARC Meteorol Res Ctr, Dhaka, Bangladesh;
10.Dept Meteorol, Colombo, Sri Lanka;
11.Nepal Acad Sci & Technol, Kathmandu, Nepal
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sheikh, M. M.,Manzoor, N.,Ashraf, J.,et al. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature indices over South Asia[J],2015,35(7):1625-1637.
APA Sheikh, M. M..,Manzoor, N..,Ashraf, J..,Adnan, M..,Collins, D..,...&Shrestha, M. L..(2015).Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature indices over South Asia.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,35(7),1625-1637.
MLA Sheikh, M. M.,et al."Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature indices over South Asia".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 35.7(2015):1625-1637.
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