Arid
DOI10.1080/02626667.2014.959956
Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates
Kling, Harald1; Stanzel, Philipp1; Fuchs, Martin1; Nachtnebel, Hans-Peter2
通讯作者Kling, Harald
来源期刊HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
ISSN0262-6667
EISSN2150-3435
出版年2015
卷号60期号:7-8页码:1374-1393
英文摘要

This study is a contribution to a model intercomparison experiment initiated during a workshop at the 2013 IAHS conference in Goteborg, Sweden. We present discharge simulations with the conceptual precipitation-runoff model COSERO in 11 basins located under different climates in Europe, Africa and Australia. All of the basins exhibit some form of non-stationary conditions, due, for example, to warming, droughts or land-cover change. The evaluation of the daily discharge simulations focuses on the overall model performance and its decomposition into three components measuring temporal dynamics, mean flow volume and distribution of flows. Calibration performance is similarly high as in previous COSERO applications. However, when looking at evaluation periods independent of the calibration, the model performance drops considerably, mainly due to severely biased discharge simulations in semi-arid basins with strong non-stationarity in rainfall. Simulations are more robust in European basins with humid climates. This highlights the fact that hydrological models frequently fail when simulations are required outside of calibration conditions in basins with non-stationary conditions. As a consequence, calibration periods should be sufficiently long to include both wet and dry periods, which should yield more robust predictions.


英文关键词precipitation-runoff modelling COSERO model model performance non-stationarity
类型Article
语种英语
国家Austria
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000360222500015
WOS关键词WATER-BALANCE ; STREAMFLOW SIMULATION ; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS ; GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION ; CATCHMENT ; CALIBRATION ; IMPACT ; PARAMETERS ; UNCERTAINTY ; PREDICTIONS
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/187745
作者单位1.Poyry Energy GmbH, Div Water Resources, Vienna, Austria;
2.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci BOKU, Dept Water Atmosphere Environm, Vienna, Austria
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kling, Harald,Stanzel, Philipp,Fuchs, Martin,et al. Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates[J],2015,60(7-8):1374-1393.
APA Kling, Harald,Stanzel, Philipp,Fuchs, Martin,&Nachtnebel, Hans-Peter.(2015).Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,60(7-8),1374-1393.
MLA Kling, Harald,et al."Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES 60.7-8(2015):1374-1393.
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