Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1080/02626667.2014.959956 |
Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates | |
Kling, Harald1; Stanzel, Philipp1; Fuchs, Martin1; Nachtnebel, Hans-Peter2 | |
通讯作者 | Kling, Harald |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
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ISSN | 0262-6667 |
EISSN | 2150-3435 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 60期号:7-8页码:1374-1393 |
英文摘要 | This study is a contribution to a model intercomparison experiment initiated during a workshop at the 2013 IAHS conference in Goteborg, Sweden. We present discharge simulations with the conceptual precipitation-runoff model COSERO in 11 basins located under different climates in Europe, Africa and Australia. All of the basins exhibit some form of non-stationary conditions, due, for example, to warming, droughts or land-cover change. The evaluation of the daily discharge simulations focuses on the overall model performance and its decomposition into three components measuring temporal dynamics, mean flow volume and distribution of flows. Calibration performance is similarly high as in previous COSERO applications. However, when looking at evaluation periods independent of the calibration, the model performance drops considerably, mainly due to severely biased discharge simulations in semi-arid basins with strong non-stationarity in rainfall. Simulations are more robust in European basins with humid climates. This highlights the fact that hydrological models frequently fail when simulations are required outside of calibration conditions in basins with non-stationary conditions. As a consequence, calibration periods should be sufficiently long to include both wet and dry periods, which should yield more robust predictions. |
英文关键词 | precipitation-runoff modelling COSERO model model performance non-stationarity |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Austria |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000360222500015 |
WOS关键词 | WATER-BALANCE ; STREAMFLOW SIMULATION ; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS ; GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION ; CATCHMENT ; CALIBRATION ; IMPACT ; PARAMETERS ; UNCERTAINTY ; PREDICTIONS |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/187745 |
作者单位 | 1.Poyry Energy GmbH, Div Water Resources, Vienna, Austria; 2.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci BOKU, Dept Water Atmosphere Environm, Vienna, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kling, Harald,Stanzel, Philipp,Fuchs, Martin,et al. Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates[J],2015,60(7-8):1374-1393. |
APA | Kling, Harald,Stanzel, Philipp,Fuchs, Martin,&Nachtnebel, Hans-Peter.(2015).Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,60(7-8),1374-1393. |
MLA | Kling, Harald,et al."Performance of the COSERO precipitation-runoff model under non-stationary conditions in basins with different climates".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES 60.7-8(2015):1374-1393. |
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