Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1080/02626667.2015.1040021 |
Analysis of rainfall and large-scale predictors using a stochastic model and artificial neural network for hydrological applications in southern Africa | |
Kenabatho, P. K.1; Parida, B. P.2; Moalafhi, D. B.1,3; Segosebe, T.1 | |
通讯作者 | Kenabatho, P. K. |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
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ISSN | 0262-6667 |
EISSN | 2150-3435 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 60期号:11页码:1943-1955 |
英文摘要 | Rainfall is a major requirement for many water resources applications, including food production and security. Understanding the main drivers of rainfall and its variability in semi-arid areas is a key to unlocking the complex rainfall processes influencing the translation of rainfall into runoff. In recent studies, temperature and humidity were found to be among rainfall predictors in Botswana and South African catchments when using complex rainfall models based on the generalized linear models (GLMs). In this study, we explore the use of other less complex models such as artificial neural networks (ANNs), and Multiplicative Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (MARIMA) (a) to further investigate the association between rainfall and large-scale rainfall predictors in Botswana, and (b) to forecast these predictors to simulate rainfall at shorter future time scales (October-December) for policy applications. The results indicate that ANN yields better estimates of forecasted temperatures and rainfall than MARIMA. |
英文关键词 | artificial neural networks generalized linear models rainfall southern Africa stochastic models teleconnections |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Botswana ; Australia |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000366326800006 |
WOS关键词 | GENERALIZED LINEAR-MODELS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; VARIABILITY ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/187741 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Botswana, Dept Environm Sci, Gaborone, Botswana; 2.Univ Botswana, Dept Civil Engn, Gaborone, Botswana; 3.Univ New S Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kenabatho, P. K.,Parida, B. P.,Moalafhi, D. B.,et al. Analysis of rainfall and large-scale predictors using a stochastic model and artificial neural network for hydrological applications in southern Africa[J],2015,60(11):1943-1955. |
APA | Kenabatho, P. K.,Parida, B. P.,Moalafhi, D. B.,&Segosebe, T..(2015).Analysis of rainfall and large-scale predictors using a stochastic model and artificial neural network for hydrological applications in southern Africa.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,60(11),1943-1955. |
MLA | Kenabatho, P. K.,et al."Analysis of rainfall and large-scale predictors using a stochastic model and artificial neural network for hydrological applications in southern Africa".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES 60.11(2015):1943-1955. |
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