Arid
DOI10.1007/s12665-014-3477-1
An investigation of drought magnitude trend during 1975-2005 in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran
Dashtpagerdi, Mostafa Moradi1; Kousari, Mohammad Reza2,3; Vagharfard, Hassan4; Ghonchepour, Diba4; Hosseini, Mitra Esmaeilzadeh3; Ahani, Hossein2
通讯作者Dashtpagerdi, Mostafa Moradi
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN1866-6280
EISSN1866-6299
出版年2015
卷号73期号:3页码:1231-1244
英文摘要

In addition to drought intensity, drought magnitude (DM) is an important parameter in drought analysis. Therefore, in this study, the drought intensity and DM trends are investigated based on the standardized precipitation index (3, 6, 9, 12, 18 and 24 monthly SPI time series) from 1975 until 2005 in 25 synoptic weather stations located in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. Although the DM is commonly computed for negative SPI values, for analysis the wet years besides drought conditions, this study has also involved positive SPI values and therefore, each time series was divided into four drought intensity conditions as follows: drought (D; SPI values less than -1), normal near drought (ND; SPI values more than -1 and less than 0), normal near wet (NW, SPI values more than 0 and less than +1), and wet (W; SPI values more than 1). The non-parametric rank-based Mann-Kendall test was used to detect trends of SPI values (drought intensity and DM) for 3, 6, 9, 12, 18 and 24 monthly time scales. Based on the results, a considerable percentage (50 %) of the stations at the level of 0.05 showed a significant trend with regards to drought intensity when compared with the DM trend (5.8 %). Generally, it can be said that the arid and semi-arid areas of Iran had a negative SPI trend and it means the more drought severities. Also, the more frequent significant positive DM trend in comparison to negative ones is a sign of increasing DM during the three past decades.


英文关键词Arid and semi-arid Drought magnitude Iran Mann-Kendall statistics SPI
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000348340900026
WOS关键词PRECIPITATION ; INDEX
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/186977
作者单位1.Chaharmahal Va Bakhtiari Nat Resources Org, KWMO, Shahrekord, Iran;
2.Fars Agr Org, Management Ctr Strateg Projects, Shiraz, Iran;
3.Yazd Univ, Fac Nat Resources, Yazd, Iran;
4.Hormozgan Univ, Agr & Nat Resources Fac, Bandar E Abas, Iran
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GB/T 7714
Dashtpagerdi, Mostafa Moradi,Kousari, Mohammad Reza,Vagharfard, Hassan,et al. An investigation of drought magnitude trend during 1975-2005 in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran[J],2015,73(3):1231-1244.
APA Dashtpagerdi, Mostafa Moradi,Kousari, Mohammad Reza,Vagharfard, Hassan,Ghonchepour, Diba,Hosseini, Mitra Esmaeilzadeh,&Ahani, Hossein.(2015).An investigation of drought magnitude trend during 1975-2005 in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran.ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES,73(3),1231-1244.
MLA Dashtpagerdi, Mostafa Moradi,et al."An investigation of drought magnitude trend during 1975-2005 in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran".ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES 73.3(2015):1231-1244.
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