Arid
DOI10.1007/s12665-014-3137-5
Analysis of changes in climate and river discharge with focus on seasonal runoff predictability in the Aksu River Basin
Kundzewicz, Z. W.1,2; Merz, B.3; Vorogushyn, S.3; Hartmann, H.4; Duethmann, D.3; Wortmann, M.1; Huang, Sh.1; Su, B.5; Jiang, T.5; Krysanova, V.1
通讯作者Kundzewicz, Z. W.
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN1866-6280
EISSN1866-6299
出版年2015
卷号73期号:2页码:501-516
英文摘要

The River Aksu is the principal tributary to the River Tarim, providing about three quarters of its discharge. It originates in Kyrgyzstan and flows into the arid areas of the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region in China, where an extensive irrigated agriculture has been developed in the river oases. The aim of the present contribution is to review the current trends in temperature, precipitation, and river discharge and links between these variables. The temperature in the region and the river discharge have been rising. Changes were studied using multiple trend analyses with different start and end years. Correlations between daily temperature and discharge are high and statistically significant for two headwater subcatchments of the Aksu for most of the time. However, there are episodes in late summer or beginning of autumn when correlations between temperature and discharge for the Xiehela station are absent. This can only be explained by Glacial Lake Outburst Floods from the Lake Merzbacher that are not routinely monitored. On an annual time scale, changes in summer discharge in the highly glacierized Xiehela subcatchment are dominated by changes in temperature. In contrast, in the subcatchment Shaliguilanke, variations in summer streamflow are more strongly influenced by variations in precipitation. A comparison of links between climatic variables and streamflow at different temporal scales is offered. Perspectives for seasonal forecasting are examined.


英文关键词Temperature Precipitation Streamflow Trend detection River Tarim River Aksu
类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany ; Poland ; USA ; Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000347446400002
WOS关键词TARIM RIVER ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; TIEN-SHAN ; XINJIANG ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; HEADWATERS ; STREAMFLOW ; TIANSHAN ; MONSOON
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/186975
作者单位1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany;
2.Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan, Poland;
3.GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci, Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany;
4.Slippery Rock Univ, Slippery Rock, PA 16057 USA;
5.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kundzewicz, Z. W.,Merz, B.,Vorogushyn, S.,et al. Analysis of changes in climate and river discharge with focus on seasonal runoff predictability in the Aksu River Basin[J],2015,73(2):501-516.
APA Kundzewicz, Z. W..,Merz, B..,Vorogushyn, S..,Hartmann, H..,Duethmann, D..,...&Krysanova, V..(2015).Analysis of changes in climate and river discharge with focus on seasonal runoff predictability in the Aksu River Basin.ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES,73(2),501-516.
MLA Kundzewicz, Z. W.,et al."Analysis of changes in climate and river discharge with focus on seasonal runoff predictability in the Aksu River Basin".ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES 73.2(2015):501-516.
条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小 资源类型 版本类型 开放类型 使用许可
Analysis of changes (3955KB)期刊论文出版稿开放获取CC BY-NC-SA浏览
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Kundzewicz, Z. W.]的文章
[Merz, B.]的文章
[Vorogushyn, S.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Kundzewicz, Z. W.]的文章
[Merz, B.]的文章
[Vorogushyn, S.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Kundzewicz, Z. W.]的文章
[Merz, B.]的文章
[Vorogushyn, S.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
文件名: Analysis of changes in climate and river discharge with focus on seasonal runoff predictability in the Aksu River Basin.pdf
格式: Adobe PDF
此文件暂不支持浏览

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。