Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-015-1456-5 |
Projected climate change impacts on vegetation distribution over Kashmir Himalayas | |
Rashid, Irfan1,2; Romshoo, Shakil Ahmad1; Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar3; Ravindranath, N. H.3,4; Sukumar, Raman4,5; Jayaraman, Mathangi3; Lakshmi, Thatiparthi Vijaya2; Sharma, Jagmohan3 | |
通讯作者 | Rashid, Irfan |
来源期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 132期号:4页码:601-613 |
英文摘要 | Despite high vulnerability, the impact of climate change on Himalayan ecosystem has not been properly investigated, primarily due to the inadequacy of observed data and the complex topography. In this study, we mapped the current vegetation distribution in Kashmir Himalayas from NOAA AVHRR and projected it under A1B SRES, RCP-4.5 and RCP-8.5 climate scenarios using the vegetation dynamics model-IBIS at a spatial resolution of 0.5A degrees. The distribution of vegetation under the changing climate was simulated for the 21st century. Climate change projections from the PRECIS experiment using the HADRM3 model, for the Kashmir region, were validated using the observed climate data from two observatories. Both the observed as well as the projected climate data showed statistically significant trends. IBIS was validated for Kashmir Himalayas by comparing the simulated vegetation distribution with the observed distribution. The baseline simulated scenario of vegetation (1960-1990), showed 87.15 % agreement with the observed vegetation distribution, thereby increasing the credibility of the projected vegetation distribution under the changing climate over the region. According to the model projections, grasslands and tropical deciduous forests in the region would be severely affected while as savannah, shrubland, temperate evergreen broadleaf forest, boreal evergreen forest and mixed forest types would colonize the area currently under the cold desert/rock/ice land cover types. The model predicted that a substantial area of land, presently under the permanent snow and ice cover, would disappear by the end of the century which might severely impact stream flows, agriculture productivity and biodiversity in the region. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | India |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000361799100011 |
WOS关键词 | INTEGRATED BIOSPHERE SIMULATOR ; CARBON BALANCE ; MODEL ; RESPONSES ; RESOLUTION ; LANDSCAPE ; REGION ; CHINA ; INDIA ; CONSEQUENCES |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/186543 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Kashmir, Dept Earth Sci, Srinagar 190006, Jammu & Kashmir, India; 2.Jawaharlal Nehru Technol Univ, Ctr Environm, Hyderabad, Andhra Pradesh, India; 3.Indian Inst Sci, Ctr Sustainable Technol, Bangalore 560012, Karnataka, India; 4.Indian Inst Sci, Divecha Ctr Climate Change, Bangalore 560012, Karnataka, India; 5.Indian Inst Sci, Ctr Ecol Sci, Bangalore 560012, Karnataka, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rashid, Irfan,Romshoo, Shakil Ahmad,Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar,et al. Projected climate change impacts on vegetation distribution over Kashmir Himalayas[J],2015,132(4):601-613. |
APA | Rashid, Irfan.,Romshoo, Shakil Ahmad.,Chaturvedi, Rajiv Kumar.,Ravindranath, N. H..,Sukumar, Raman.,...&Sharma, Jagmohan.(2015).Projected climate change impacts on vegetation distribution over Kashmir Himalayas.CLIMATIC CHANGE,132(4),601-613. |
MLA | Rashid, Irfan,et al."Projected climate change impacts on vegetation distribution over Kashmir Himalayas".CLIMATIC CHANGE 132.4(2015):601-613. |
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