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DOI10.1007/s00382-014-2144-2
The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models
Lindvall, Jenny; Svensson, Gunilla
通讯作者Lindvall, Jenny
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2015
卷号44期号:1-2页码:405-421
英文摘要

This paper analyzes the diurnal temperature range (DTR) over land in simulations of the recent past and in future projections by 20 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). The annually averaged DTR is evaluated for the present-day climate using two gridded datasets (HadGHCND and CRU). The DTR varies substantially between different CMIP5 models, particularly in the subtropics, and is generally underestimated. In future projections of the high emission scenario RCP8.5, the models disagree on both the sign and the magnitude of the change in DTR. Still, a majority of the models project a globally averaged reduction in the DTR, with an increase over Europe, a decrease over the Sahara desert and a substantial decrease in DTR at high latitudes in winter. The general DTR reduction is partly linked to the enhancement of the downwelling clear sky longwave radiation due to greenhouse gases. At high latitudes in winter, the decrease in DTR seems to be enforced by an increase in cloudiness, but in most other regions counteracted by decreases in cloud fraction. Changes in the hydrological cycle and in the clear sky shortwave radiation also impact the DTR. The DTR integrates many processes and neither the model differences in the DTR nor in the change in DTR can be attributed to a single parameter. Which variables that impact the model discrepancies vary both regionally and seasonally. However, clouds seem to matter in most regions and seasons and the evaporative fraction is important in summer.


英文关键词CMIP5 Diurnal temperature range Maximum temperature Minimum temperature HadGHCND Global climate models
类型Article
语种英语
国家Sweden
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000347710400018
WOS关键词GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL ; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; DAILY MAXIMUM ; COUPLED MODEL ; TRENDS ; SIMULATIONS ; VARIABILITY ; GENERATION ; PREDICTION ; CYCLE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/186513
作者单位Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
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GB/T 7714
Lindvall, Jenny,Svensson, Gunilla. The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models[J],2015,44(1-2):405-421.
APA Lindvall, Jenny,&Svensson, Gunilla.(2015).The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,44(1-2),405-421.
MLA Lindvall, Jenny,et al."The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 44.1-2(2015):405-421.
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