Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-014-2144-2 |
The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models | |
Lindvall, Jenny; Svensson, Gunilla | |
通讯作者 | Lindvall, Jenny |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 44期号:1-2页码:405-421 |
英文摘要 | This paper analyzes the diurnal temperature range (DTR) over land in simulations of the recent past and in future projections by 20 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). The annually averaged DTR is evaluated for the present-day climate using two gridded datasets (HadGHCND and CRU). The DTR varies substantially between different CMIP5 models, particularly in the subtropics, and is generally underestimated. In future projections of the high emission scenario RCP8.5, the models disagree on both the sign and the magnitude of the change in DTR. Still, a majority of the models project a globally averaged reduction in the DTR, with an increase over Europe, a decrease over the Sahara desert and a substantial decrease in DTR at high latitudes in winter. The general DTR reduction is partly linked to the enhancement of the downwelling clear sky longwave radiation due to greenhouse gases. At high latitudes in winter, the decrease in DTR seems to be enforced by an increase in cloudiness, but in most other regions counteracted by decreases in cloud fraction. Changes in the hydrological cycle and in the clear sky shortwave radiation also impact the DTR. The DTR integrates many processes and neither the model differences in the DTR nor in the change in DTR can be attributed to a single parameter. Which variables that impact the model discrepancies vary both regionally and seasonally. However, clouds seem to matter in most regions and seasons and the evaporative fraction is important in summer. |
英文关键词 | CMIP5 Diurnal temperature range Maximum temperature Minimum temperature HadGHCND Global climate models |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000347710400018 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL ; EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; DAILY MAXIMUM ; COUPLED MODEL ; TRENDS ; SIMULATIONS ; VARIABILITY ; GENERATION ; PREDICTION ; CYCLE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/186513 |
作者单位 | Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lindvall, Jenny,Svensson, Gunilla. The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models[J],2015,44(1-2):405-421. |
APA | Lindvall, Jenny,&Svensson, Gunilla.(2015).The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,44(1-2),405-421. |
MLA | Lindvall, Jenny,et al."The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 44.1-2(2015):405-421. |
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