Arid
DOI10.1007/s12517-015-1935-z
On the assessment of ground water parameter uncertainty over an arid aquifer
Hamraz, BaharehSadat1; Akbarpour, Abolfazl2; Bilondi, Mohsen Pourreza1; Tabas, Sadegh Sadeghi1
通讯作者Bilondi, Mohsen Pourreza
来源期刊ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES
ISSN1866-7511
EISSN1866-7538
出版年2015
卷号8期号:12页码:10759-10773
英文摘要

Uncertainty assessment of groundwater modeling is important for sustainable groundwater management and planning. The purpose of this study is to assess parameter uncertainty of groundwater modeling in the Birjand plain, Iran. This arid aquifer was modeled using MATLAB-based MODFLOW to avoid propagating uncertainty associated with hydraulic conductivity and recharge parameters. So, the aquifer was divided into 17 hydraulic conductivity homogenous zones; besides, 9 recharge zones were considered separately. Parameter uncertainty was evaluated using the Monte Carlo (MC) sampling technique, namely, the generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE). The results indicated that the performance of the GLUE based on the inverse error variance likelihood function was satisfied, because it gave the higher bracketing of observations equal to 86 %. Parameter uncertainty is well defined in the zones where they are not influenced directly by an inflow or outflow stream while hydraulic conductivity parameters of these zones follow approximately a normal distribution. In addition, groundwater modeling leads to a uniform exponential distribution in the zones with inflow or outflow streams.


英文关键词Parameter uncertainty Groundwater modeling Hydraulic conductivity Recharge MODFLOW GLUE
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000365450800040
WOS关键词FORMAL BAYESIAN METHOD ; CONCEPTUAL-MODEL ; GLUE ; FLOW ; EQUIFINALITY ; METHODOLOGY ; CALIBRATION ; PREDICTION
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/185952
作者单位1.Univ Birjand, Dept Water Engn, Birjand, Iran;
2.Univ Birjand, Dept Civil Engn, Birjand, Iran
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hamraz, BaharehSadat,Akbarpour, Abolfazl,Bilondi, Mohsen Pourreza,et al. On the assessment of ground water parameter uncertainty over an arid aquifer[J],2015,8(12):10759-10773.
APA Hamraz, BaharehSadat,Akbarpour, Abolfazl,Bilondi, Mohsen Pourreza,&Tabas, Sadegh Sadeghi.(2015).On the assessment of ground water parameter uncertainty over an arid aquifer.ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES,8(12),10759-10773.
MLA Hamraz, BaharehSadat,et al."On the assessment of ground water parameter uncertainty over an arid aquifer".ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES 8.12(2015):10759-10773.
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