Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-014-0781-1
Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks
Makwana, Jaydip J.; Tiwari, Mukesh K.
通讯作者Tiwari, Mukesh K.
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2014
卷号28期号:13页码:4857-4873
英文摘要

Forecasting of intermittent stream flow is necessary for water resource planning and management at catchment scale. Forecasting of extreme events and events outside the range of training data used for artificial neural network (ANN) model development has been a major bottleneck in their generalization capabilities till date. Despite of several studies using wavelet analysis in water resource modelling, no study has yet been conducted to explore capabilities of hybrid ANN modelling techniques for extreme events outside the training range. In this study a wavelet based ANN model (WANN) is proposed for intermittent streamflow forecasting and extreme event modelling. This study is carried out in a watershed in semi arid middle region of Gujarat, India. 6 years of hydro-climatic data are used in this study. 4 years of data are used for model training, 1 year for cross-validation and remaining 1 year data are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the WANN model. Two different approaches of data arrangement are considered in this study, in one approach testing data are within the range of training dataset, whereas in another approach testing data are outside the training dataset range. Performance of four different training algorithms and different types of wavelet functions are also evaluated for WANN model development. In this study it is found that WANN model performed significantly better than standard ANN models. It is observed in this study that different wavelet functions have different role in modelling complexities of normal and extreme events. WANN model simulated peak values very well and it shows that WANN model has the potential to be applied successfully for intermittent streamflow forecasting even for the data outside the training range and for extreme events.


英文关键词Intermittent streamflow wavelet analysis artificial neural networks extreme events Semi-arid region Gujarat
类型Article
语种英语
国家India
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000342448400028
WOS关键词DATA-DRIVEN ; UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT ; RIVER ; TRANSFORMS ; COMPONENTS
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/185272
作者单位Anand Agr Univ, Dept Soil & Water Engn, Coll Agr Engn & Technol, Godhra 389001, Gujarat, India
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Makwana, Jaydip J.,Tiwari, Mukesh K.. Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks[J],2014,28(13):4857-4873.
APA Makwana, Jaydip J.,&Tiwari, Mukesh K..(2014).Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,28(13),4857-4873.
MLA Makwana, Jaydip J.,et al."Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 28.13(2014):4857-4873.
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