Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1111/jawr.12199 |
IMPACTS OF 21ST-CENTURY CLIMATE CHANGE ON HYDROLOGIC EXTREMES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION OF NORTH AMERICA | |
Tohver, Ingrid M.1; Hamlet, Alan F.1,2; Lee, Se-Yeun1,3 | |
通讯作者 | Tohver, Ingrid M. |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
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ISSN | 1093-474X |
EISSN | 1752-1688 |
出版年 | 2014 |
卷号 | 50期号:6页码:1461-1476 |
英文摘要 | Climate change projections for the Pacific Northwest (PNW) region of North America include warmer temperatures (T), reduced precipitation (P) in summer months, and increased P during all other seasons. Using a physically based hydrologic model and an ensemble of statistically downscaled global climate model scenarios produced by the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, we examine the nature of changing hydrologic extremes (floods and low flows) under natural conditions for about 300 river locations in the PNW. The combination of warming, and shifts in seasonal P regimes, results in increased flooding and more intense low flows for most of the basins in the PNW. Flood responses depend on average midwinter T and basin type. Mixed rain and snow basins, with average winter temperatures near freezing, typically show the largest increases in flood risk because of the combined effects of warming (increasing contributing basin area) and more winter P. Decreases in low flows are driven by loss of snowpack, drier summers, and increasing evapotranspiration in the simulations. Energy-limited basins on the west side of the Cascades show the strongest declines in low flows, whereas more arid, water-limited basins on the east side of the Cascades show smaller reductions in low flows. A fine-scale analysis of hydrologic extremes over the Olympic Peninsula echoes the results for the larger rivers discussed above, but provides additional detail about topographic gradients. |
英文关键词 | Columbia River basin hydrologic extremes flood low flow climate change downscaled global climate models hydrologic models |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000345773900008 |
WOS关键词 | WESTERN UNITED-STATES ; COLUMBIA RIVER-BASIN ; WATER MANAGEMENT ; WASHINGTON-STATE ; SALMON ; STATISTICS ; SNOWPACK ; MODELS ; TRENDS ; USA |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Environmental ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/183690 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Washington, Climate Impacts Grp, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; 2.Univ Notre Dame, Dept Civil & Environm Engn & Earth Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA; 3.Univ Washington, Sch Environm & Forest Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tohver, Ingrid M.,Hamlet, Alan F.,Lee, Se-Yeun. IMPACTS OF 21ST-CENTURY CLIMATE CHANGE ON HYDROLOGIC EXTREMES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION OF NORTH AMERICA[J],2014,50(6):1461-1476. |
APA | Tohver, Ingrid M.,Hamlet, Alan F.,&Lee, Se-Yeun.(2014).IMPACTS OF 21ST-CENTURY CLIMATE CHANGE ON HYDROLOGIC EXTREMES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION OF NORTH AMERICA.JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION,50(6),1461-1476. |
MLA | Tohver, Ingrid M.,et al."IMPACTS OF 21ST-CENTURY CLIMATE CHANGE ON HYDROLOGIC EXTREMES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION OF NORTH AMERICA".JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION 50.6(2014):1461-1476. |
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