Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.02.016 |
Human influence on changes in the distribution of land precipitation | |
Alkama, Ramdane1,2 | |
通讯作者 | Alkama, Ramdane |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
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ISSN | 0022-1694 |
EISSN | 1879-2707 |
出版年 | 2014 |
卷号 | 511页码:589-593 |
英文摘要 | The evolution of the distribution of observed land precipitation over 1901-2010 and 1979-2010 is analyzed and compared with 14 simulations from the CMIP5 climate models. Firstly, two different quantile-based mapping methods are used to bias-correct the simulated monthly land precipitation. The results show a very slight difference in mean annual values between the two methods. Secondly, the comparison between observed and simulated land precipitation suggests that anthropogenic forcing most likely caused the redistribution of the repartition of land precipitation, decreasing the extent of arid area (area with precipitation range between 50 and 300 mm/yr), and increasing the extent of area with a precipitation range between 450 and 900 mm/yr. However, the observed changes are larger than estimated from model simulations. The future RCP8.5 (2010-2100) simulations are also analyzed. Therefore, all 14 model simulations show the same trend pattern, only slightly different from that found over 1979-2010 but with reduced spread. (c) 2014 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V. |
英文关键词 | Land precipitation change Anthropogenic effect CMIP5 experiments Quantile mapping method |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France ; Italy |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000335274900051 |
WOS关键词 | ATTRIBUTION |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/183421 |
作者单位 | 1.CNRS, CNRM GAME, Meteo France, F-31057 Toulouse, France; 2.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, I-27021 Ispra, VA, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alkama, Ramdane. Human influence on changes in the distribution of land precipitation[J],2014,511:589-593. |
APA | Alkama, Ramdane.(2014).Human influence on changes in the distribution of land precipitation.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,511,589-593. |
MLA | Alkama, Ramdane."Human influence on changes in the distribution of land precipitation".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 511(2014):589-593. |
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Human influence on c(1360KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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