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DOI10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0362.1
Sensitivity of Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts to Soil Properties over a Sparsely Vegetated Dry land Region
Massey, Jeffrey D.1; Steenburgh, W. James1; Hoch, Sebastian W.1; Knievel, Jason C.2
通讯作者Massey, Jeffrey D.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN1558-8424
EISSN1558-8432
出版年2014
卷号53期号:8页码:1976-1995
英文摘要

Weather Research and Forecasting Model forecasts over the Great Salt Lake Desert erroneously underpredict nocturnal cooling over the sparsely vegetated silt loam soil area of Dugway Proving Ground in northern Utah, with a mean positive bias error in temperature at 2m AGL of 3.4 degrees C in the early morning [1200 UTC (0500 LST)]. Positive early-morning bias errors also exist in nearby sandy loam soil areas. These biases are related to the improper initialization of soil moisture and parameterization of soil thermal conductivity in silt loam and sandy loam soils. Forecasts of 2-m temperature can be improved by initializing with observed soil moisture and by replacing Johansen’s 1975 parameterization of soil thermal conductivity in the Noah land surface model with that proposed by McCumber and Pielke in 1981 for silt loam and sandy loam soils. Case studies illustrate that this change can dramatically reduce nighttime warm biases in 2-m temperature over silt loam and sandy loam soils, with the greatest improvement during periods of low soil moisture. Predicted ground heat flux, soil thermal conductivity, near-surface radiative fluxes, and low-level thermal profiles also more closely match observations. Similar results are anticipated in other dryland regions with analogous soil types, sparse vegetation, and low soil moisture.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000340512200009
WOS关键词THERMAL-CONDUCTIVITY ; BOUNDARY-LAYER ; WATER-CONTENT ; ETA-MODEL ; PART I ; WEATHER FORECASTS ; DIURNAL CYCLES ; UNITED-STATES ; MOISTURE ; PARAMETERIZATION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/182946
作者单位1.Univ Utah, Dept Atmospher Sci, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA;
2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Massey, Jeffrey D.,Steenburgh, W. James,Hoch, Sebastian W.,et al. Sensitivity of Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts to Soil Properties over a Sparsely Vegetated Dry land Region[J],2014,53(8):1976-1995.
APA Massey, Jeffrey D.,Steenburgh, W. James,Hoch, Sebastian W.,&Knievel, Jason C..(2014).Sensitivity of Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts to Soil Properties over a Sparsely Vegetated Dry land Region.JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,53(8),1976-1995.
MLA Massey, Jeffrey D.,et al."Sensitivity of Near-Surface Temperature Forecasts to Soil Properties over a Sparsely Vegetated Dry land Region".JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY 53.8(2014):1976-1995.
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