Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.010
Historical extension of operational NDVI products for livestock insurance in Kenya
Vrieling, Anton1; Meroni, Michele2; Shee, Apurba3; Mude, Andrew G.3; Woodard, Joshua4; de Bie, C. A. J. M. (Kees)1; Rembold, Felix2
通讯作者Vrieling, Anton
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
ISSN0303-2434
出版年2014
卷号28页码:238-251
英文摘要

Droughts induce livestock losses that severely affect Kenyan pastoralists. Recent index insurance schemes have the potential of being a viable tool for insuring pastoralists against drought-related risk. Such schemes require as input a forage scarcity (or drought) index that can be reliably updated in near realtime, and that strongly relates to livestock mortality. Generally, a long record (>25 years) of the index is needed to correctly estimate mortality risk and calculate the related insurance premium. Data from current operational satellites used for large-scale vegetation monitoring span over a maximum of 15 years, a time period that is considered insufficient for accurate premium computation. This study examines how operational NDVI datasets compare to, and could be combined with the non-operational recently constructed 30-year GIMMS AVHRR record (1981-2011) to provide a near-real time drought index with a long term archive for the arid lands of Kenya. We compared six freely available, near-real time NDVI products: five from MODIS and one from SPOT-VEGETATION. Prior to comparison, all datasets were averaged in time for the two vegetative seasons in Kenya, and aggregated spatially at the administrative division level at which the insurance is offered. The feasibility of extending the resulting aggregated drought indices back in time was assessed using jackknifed R2 statistics (leave-one-year-out) for the overlapping period 2002-2011. We found that division-specific models were more effective than a global model for linking the division-level temporal variability of the index between NDVI products. Based on our results, good scope exists for historically extending the aggregated drought index, thus providing a longer operational record for insurance purposes. We showed that this extension may have large effects on the calculated insurance premium. Finally, we discuss several possible improvements to the drought index. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词NDVI AVHRR SPOT MODIS Index insurance Intercalibration
类型Article
语种英语
国家Netherlands ; Italy ; Kenya ; USA
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000332429000023
WOS关键词DIFFERENCE VEGETATION INDEX ; TIME-SERIES ; SPOT-VEGETATION ; DATA SET ; AVHRR ; MODIS ; AFRICA ; RISK ; REFLECTANCE ; FEVER
WOS类目Remote Sensing
WOS研究方向Remote Sensing
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/182660
作者单位1.Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands;
2.Commiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, Inst Environm & Sustainabil, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy;
3.Int Livestock Res Inst, Nairobi 00100, Kenya;
4.Cornell Univ, Dyson Sch Appl Econ & Management, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
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GB/T 7714
Vrieling, Anton,Meroni, Michele,Shee, Apurba,et al. Historical extension of operational NDVI products for livestock insurance in Kenya[J],2014,28:238-251.
APA Vrieling, Anton.,Meroni, Michele.,Shee, Apurba.,Mude, Andrew G..,Woodard, Joshua.,...&Rembold, Felix.(2014).Historical extension of operational NDVI products for livestock insurance in Kenya.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION,28,238-251.
MLA Vrieling, Anton,et al."Historical extension of operational NDVI products for livestock insurance in Kenya".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION 28(2014):238-251.
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