Arid
DOI10.5194/hess-18-3635-2014
A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective
Masih, I.1; Maskey, S.1; Mussa, F. E. F.1,2; Trambauer, P.1
通讯作者Masih, I.
来源期刊HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN1027-5606
EISSN1607-7938
出版年2014
卷号18期号:9页码:3635-3649
英文摘要

This paper presents a comprehensive review and analysis of the available literature and information on droughts to build a continental, regional and country level perspective on geospatial and temporal variation of droughts in Africa. The study is based on the review and analysis of droughts occurred during 1900-2013, as well as evidence available from past centuries based on studies on the lake sediment analysis, tree-ring chronologies and written and oral histories and future predictions from the global climate change models. Most of the studies based on instrumental records indicate that droughts have become more frequent, intense and widespread during the last 50 years. The extreme droughts of 1972-1973, 1983-1984 and 1991-1992 were continental in nature and stand unique in the available records. Additionally, many severe and prolonged droughts were recorded in the recent past such as the 1999-2002 drought in northwest Africa, 1970s and 1980s droughts in western Africa (Sahel), 2010-2011 drought in eastern Africa (Horn of Africa) and 2001-2003 drought in southern and southeastern Africa, to name a few. The available (though limited) evidence before the 20th century confirms the occurrence of several extreme and multi-year droughts during each century, with the most prolonged and intense droughts that occurred in Sahel and equatorial eastern Africa. The complex and highly variant nature of many physical mechanisms such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), sea surface temperature (SST) and land-atmosphere feedback adds to the daunting challenge of drought monitoring and forecasting. The future predictions of droughts based on global climate models indicate increased droughts and aridity at the continental scale but large differences exist due to model limitations and complexity of the processes especially for Sahel and northern Africa.


However, the available evidence from the past clearly shows that the African continent is likely to face extreme and widespread droughts in future. This evident challenge is likely to aggravate due to slow progress in drought risk management, increased population and demand for water and degradation of land and environment. Thus, there is a clear need for increased and integrated efforts in drought mitigation to reduce the negative impacts of droughts anticipated in the future.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Netherlands ; Mozambique
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000343118500019
WOS关键词EQUATORIAL EAST-AFRICA ; SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA ; SOUTHERN AFRICA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FOOD SECURITY ; WEST-AFRICA ; INDIAN-OCEAN ; VARIABILITY ; DESERTIFICATION ; MANAGEMENT
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/182509
作者单位1.UNESCO IHE, Inst Water Educ, NL-2601 DA Delft, Netherlands;
2.Eduardo Mondlane Univ, Fac Engn, Maputo, Mozambique
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Masih, I.,Maskey, S.,Mussa, F. E. F.,et al. A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective[J],2014,18(9):3635-3649.
APA Masih, I.,Maskey, S.,Mussa, F. E. F.,&Trambauer, P..(2014).A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective.HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,18(9),3635-3649.
MLA Masih, I.,et al."A review of droughts on the African continent: a geospatial and long-term perspective".HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 18.9(2014):3635-3649.
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