Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070) | |
Grossman-Clarke, Susanne1; Schubert, Sebastian1; Clarke, Thomas R.; Harlan, Sharon L.2 | |
通讯作者 | Grossman-Clarke, Susanne |
来源期刊 | ERDE
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ISSN | 0013-9998 |
出版年 | 2014 |
卷号 | 145期号:1-2页码:49-61 |
英文摘要 | Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse gas emissions scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Extreme heat events are identified by measures related to two thresholds of the maximum daily air temperature distribution for the historical reference period 1971-2000. Comparing this reference period to the model ensemble-mean, the frequency of extreme heat events is projected to increase by a factor of six to 1.9 events per summer and the average number of event days per year is projected to increase by a factor of 14. The inter-model range for the average number of EHE days per summer is larger for the projected climate, 10.6 to 42.2 days, than for simulations of the past climate simulations (1.5 to 2.4 days). |
英文关键词 | Extreme heat events Phoenix, Arizona, USA North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany ; USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000343696300005 |
WOS关键词 | MARICOPA COUNTY ; WAVE ; TEMPERATURES ; RESOLUTION ; IMPACTS ; DEATHS ; EVENTS ; URBAN ; DIFFERENTIATION ; MICROCLIMATES |
WOS类目 | Geography ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geography ; Physical Geography ; Geology |
来源机构 | Arizona State University |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/181988 |
作者单位 | 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany; 2.Arizona State Univ, Sch Human Evolut & Social Change, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,Schubert, Sebastian,Clarke, Thomas R.,et al. Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)[J]. Arizona State University,2014,145(1-2):49-61. |
APA | Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,Schubert, Sebastian,Clarke, Thomas R.,&Harlan, Sharon L..(2014).Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070).ERDE,145(1-2),49-61. |
MLA | Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,et al."Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)".ERDE 145.1-2(2014):49-61. |
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