Arid
Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)
Grossman-Clarke, Susanne1; Schubert, Sebastian1; Clarke, Thomas R.; Harlan, Sharon L.2
通讯作者Grossman-Clarke, Susanne
来源期刊ERDE
ISSN0013-9998
出版年2014
卷号145期号:1-2页码:49-61
英文摘要

Summer extreme heat events in the arid Phoenix, Arizona (USA) metropolitan region for the period 2041-2070 are projected based on the ensemble of ten climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program for the SRES A2 greenhouse gas emissions scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Extreme heat events are identified by measures related to two thresholds of the maximum daily air temperature distribution for the historical reference period 1971-2000. Comparing this reference period to the model ensemble-mean, the frequency of extreme heat events is projected to increase by a factor of six to 1.9 events per summer and the average number of event days per year is projected to increase by a factor of 14. The inter-model range for the average number of EHE days per summer is larger for the projected climate, 10.6 to 42.2 days, than for simulations of the past climate simulations (1.5 to 2.4 days).


英文关键词Extreme heat events Phoenix, Arizona, USA North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program
类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany ; USA
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000343696300005
WOS关键词MARICOPA COUNTY ; WAVE ; TEMPERATURES ; RESOLUTION ; IMPACTS ; DEATHS ; EVENTS ; URBAN ; DIFFERENTIATION ; MICROCLIMATES
WOS类目Geography ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geography ; Physical Geography ; Geology
来源机构Arizona State University
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/181988
作者单位1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany;
2.Arizona State Univ, Sch Human Evolut & Social Change, Tempe, AZ 85287 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,Schubert, Sebastian,Clarke, Thomas R.,et al. Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)[J]. Arizona State University,2014,145(1-2):49-61.
APA Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,Schubert, Sebastian,Clarke, Thomas R.,&Harlan, Sharon L..(2014).Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070).ERDE,145(1-2),49-61.
MLA Grossman-Clarke, Susanne,et al."Extreme summer heat in Phoenix, Arizona (USA) under global climate change (2041-2070)".ERDE 145.1-2(2014):49-61.
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