Arid
DOI10.1890/13-1014.1
A mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling analysis of the potential impact of climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau
Ye, Jian-Sheng1; Reynolds, James F.1,2,3; Li, Feng-Min1
通讯作者Reynolds, James F.
来源期刊ECOLOGY
ISSN0012-9658
EISSN1939-9170
出版年2014
卷号95期号:8页码:2109-2120
英文摘要

The Tibetan Plateau. (TP) is experiencing high rates of climatic change. We present a novel combined mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling approach to determine how changes in precipitation and temperature on the TP may impact net primary production (NPP) in four major biomes (forest, shrub, grass, desert) and if there exists a maximum rain use efficiency (RUEmAx) that represents Huxman et al.’s "boundary that constrain[s] site-level productivity and efficiency." We used a daily mechanistic ecosystem model to generate 40-yr outputs using observed climatic data for scenarios of decreased precipitation (25-100%); increased ail. temperature (1 degrees-6 degrees C); simultaneous changes in both precipitation (+/-50%, +/-25%) and air temperature (+1 to +6 degrees C) and increased interannual variability (IAV) of precipitation (+1 sigma to +3 sigma, with fixed means, where a is SD). We fitted model output from these scenarios to Huxman et al.’s RUEmAx bioclimatic model, NPP = alpha + RUE X PPT (where alpha is the intercept, RUE is rain use efficiency, and PPT is annual precipitation). Based on these analyses, we conclude that there is strong support (when not explicit, then trend-wise) for Huxman et al.’s assertion that biomes converge to a common RUEmAx during the driest years at a site, thus representing the boundary for highest rain use efficiency; the interactive effects of simultaneously decreasing precipitation and increasing temperature on NPP for the TP is smaller than might be expected from additive, single-factor changes in these drivers; and that increasing IAV. of precipitation may ultimately have a larger impact on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau than changing amounts of rainfall and air temperature alone.


英文关键词bioclimatic model Biome-BGC climate change mean annual precipitation mean annual temperature rain use efficiency Tibetan Plateau
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000340215900010
WOS关键词USE EFFICIENCY ; PRECIPITATION ; VEGETATION ; VARIABILITY ; ECOSYSTEMS ; RESPONSES ; CARBON ; CHINA ; PRODUCTIVITY ; TEMPERATURE
WOS类目Ecology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构兰州大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/181711
作者单位1.Lanzhou Univ, Sch Life Sci, Inst Arid Agroecol, State Key Lab Grassland Agroecosyst, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China;
2.Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27708 USA;
3.Duke Univ, Dept Biol, Durham, NC 27708 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ye, Jian-Sheng,Reynolds, James F.,Li, Feng-Min. A mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling analysis of the potential impact of climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. 兰州大学,2014,95(8):2109-2120.
APA Ye, Jian-Sheng,Reynolds, James F.,&Li, Feng-Min.(2014).A mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling analysis of the potential impact of climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau.ECOLOGY,95(8),2109-2120.
MLA Ye, Jian-Sheng,et al."A mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling analysis of the potential impact of climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau".ECOLOGY 95.8(2014):2109-2120.
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