Arid
DOI10.1016/j.ecoleng.2013.08.003
Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level
Day, John W.1; Moerschbaecher, Matthew1; Pimentel, David2; Hall, Charles3; Yanez-Arancibia, Alejandro4
通讯作者Day, John W.
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING
ISSN0925-8574
EISSN1872-6992
出版年2014
卷号65页码:33-48
英文摘要

We discuss the sustainability of natural and human systems in the United States in relation to 21st century threats associated with energy scarcity, climate change, the loss of ecosystem services, the limitations of neoclassical economics, and human settlement patterns. Increasing scarcity and the decreasing return on investment for existing conventional energy reserves are expected to significantly reduce the amount of affordable energy for societal needs and demands. This will also make dealing with the predicted impacts of climate change more difficult and expensive. Climate change will threaten the present sustainability of natural environments, agriculture, and urban areas but these impacts will manifest themselves differentially across the landscape. The impacts of projected climate change will make living in arid regions of the southern Great Plains, the Southwest, and the southern half of California increasingly difficult. Accelerated sea-level rise and increased frequency of strong hurricanes will increase the vulnerability of natural and human systems along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts while making them less sustainable. Ecosystem services provided by natural environments form the basis for the human economy everywhere and are also at risk from climate change impacts and overuse. Decreasing energy availability, climate change, and continued degradation of ecosystem services are likely to make continued economic growth difficult if not impossible. The capacity of neoclassical economics to effectively deal with these growing threats is limited. The areas of the country most compromised by these 21st century trends are likely to be the southern Great Plains, Southwest, southern California, the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, and densely populated areas everywhere, but especially in the northeast, Midwest, and southern California. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Energy scarcity Climate change Population Biophysical economics Ecosystem services Agriculture Sustainability
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; Mexico
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000336445100005
WOS关键词ENERGY RETURN ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; TROPICAL CYCLONES ; PEAK OIL ; LIMITS ; US ; INVESTMENT ; EFFICIENCY ; INTENSITY ; SANDS
WOS类目Ecology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Engineering
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/181657
作者单位1.Louisiana State Univ, Dept Oceanog & Coastal Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA;
2.Cornell Univ, Coll Agr & Life Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA;
3.SUNY Syracuse, Coll Environm Sci & Forestry, Program Environm Sci, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA;
4.Inst Ecol AC CPI CONACYT, Coastal Ecosyst Unit, Network Environm Sustainabil, Xalapa 91070, Ver, Mexico
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Day, John W.,Moerschbaecher, Matthew,Pimentel, David,et al. Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level[J],2014,65:33-48.
APA Day, John W.,Moerschbaecher, Matthew,Pimentel, David,Hall, Charles,&Yanez-Arancibia, Alejandro.(2014).Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level.ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING,65,33-48.
MLA Day, John W.,et al."Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level".ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING 65(2014):33-48.
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