Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2013.08.003 |
Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level | |
Day, John W.1; Moerschbaecher, Matthew1; Pimentel, David2; Hall, Charles3; Yanez-Arancibia, Alejandro4 | |
通讯作者 | Day, John W. |
来源期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING
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ISSN | 0925-8574 |
EISSN | 1872-6992 |
出版年 | 2014 |
卷号 | 65页码:33-48 |
英文摘要 | We discuss the sustainability of natural and human systems in the United States in relation to 21st century threats associated with energy scarcity, climate change, the loss of ecosystem services, the limitations of neoclassical economics, and human settlement patterns. Increasing scarcity and the decreasing return on investment for existing conventional energy reserves are expected to significantly reduce the amount of affordable energy for societal needs and demands. This will also make dealing with the predicted impacts of climate change more difficult and expensive. Climate change will threaten the present sustainability of natural environments, agriculture, and urban areas but these impacts will manifest themselves differentially across the landscape. The impacts of projected climate change will make living in arid regions of the southern Great Plains, the Southwest, and the southern half of California increasingly difficult. Accelerated sea-level rise and increased frequency of strong hurricanes will increase the vulnerability of natural and human systems along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts while making them less sustainable. Ecosystem services provided by natural environments form the basis for the human economy everywhere and are also at risk from climate change impacts and overuse. Decreasing energy availability, climate change, and continued degradation of ecosystem services are likely to make continued economic growth difficult if not impossible. The capacity of neoclassical economics to effectively deal with these growing threats is limited. The areas of the country most compromised by these 21st century trends are likely to be the southern Great Plains, Southwest, southern California, the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, and densely populated areas everywhere, but especially in the northeast, Midwest, and southern California. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Energy scarcity Climate change Population Biophysical economics Ecosystem services Agriculture Sustainability |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA ; Mexico |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000336445100005 |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY RETURN ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; TROPICAL CYCLONES ; PEAK OIL ; LIMITS ; US ; INVESTMENT ; EFFICIENCY ; INTENSITY ; SANDS |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Engineering |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/181657 |
作者单位 | 1.Louisiana State Univ, Dept Oceanog & Coastal Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 2.Cornell Univ, Coll Agr & Life Sci, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA; 3.SUNY Syracuse, Coll Environm Sci & Forestry, Program Environm Sci, Syracuse, NY 13210 USA; 4.Inst Ecol AC CPI CONACYT, Coastal Ecosyst Unit, Network Environm Sustainabil, Xalapa 91070, Ver, Mexico |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Day, John W.,Moerschbaecher, Matthew,Pimentel, David,et al. Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level[J],2014,65:33-48. |
APA | Day, John W.,Moerschbaecher, Matthew,Pimentel, David,Hall, Charles,&Yanez-Arancibia, Alejandro.(2014).Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level.ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING,65,33-48. |
MLA | Day, John W.,et al."Sustainability and place: How emerging mega-trends of the 21st century will affect humans and nature at the landscape level".ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING 65(2014):33-48. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Sustainability and p(3545KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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