Arid
DOI10.5194/acp-14-4587-2014
Isoprene emissions over Asia 1979-2012: impact of climate and land-use changes
Stavrakou, T.1; Muller, J. -F.1; Bauwens, M.1; De Smedt, I.1; Van Roozendael, M.1; Guenther, A.2; Wild, M.3; Xia, X.4
通讯作者Stavrakou, T.
来源期刊ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
ISSN1680-7316
EISSN1680-7324
出版年2014
卷号14期号:9页码:4587-4605
英文摘要

Due to the scarcity of observational constraints and the rapidly changing environment in East and Southeast Asia, isoprene emissions predicted by models are expected to bear substantial uncertainties. The aim of this study is to improve upon the existing bottom-up estimates, and to investigate the temporal evolution of the fluxes in Asia over 1979-2012. To this purpose, we calculate the hourly emissions at 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees resolution using the MEGAN-MOHYCAN model driven by ECMWF ERA-Interim climatology. In order to remedy for known biases identified in previous studies, and to improve the simulation of interannual variability and trends in emissions, this study incorporates (i) changes in land use, including the rapid expansion of oil palms, (ii) meteorological variability according to ERA-Interim, (iii) long-term changes in solar radiation (dimming/brightening) constrained by surface network radiation measurements, and (iv) recent experimental evidence that South Asian tropical forests are much weaker isoprene emitters than previously assumed, and on the other hand, that oil palms have a strong isoprene emission capacity. These effects lead to a significant lowering (factor of 2) in the total isoprene fluxes over the studied domain, and to emission reductions reaching a factor of 3.5 in Southeast Asia. The bottom-up annual isoprene emissions for 2005 are estimated at 7.0, 4.8, 8.3, and 2.9 Tg in China, India, Indonesia and Malaysia, respectively. The isoprene flux anomaly over the whole domain and studied period is found to be strongly correlated with the Oceanic Nino Index (r = 0.73), with positive (negative) anomalies related to El Nino (La Nina) years. Changes in temperature and solar radiation are the major drivers of the interannual variability and trends in the emissions, except over semi-arid areas such as northwestern China, Pakistan and Kazakhstan, where soil moisture is by far the main cause of interannual emission changes. In our base simulation, annual positive flux trends of 0.2% and 0.52% throughout the entire period are found in Asia and China, respectively, related to a positive trend in temperature and solar radiation. The impact of oil palm expansion in Indonesia and Malaysia is to enhance the trends over that region, e. g., from 1.17% to 1.5% in 1979-2005 in Malaysia. A negative emission trend is derived in India (-0.4 %), owing to the negative trend in solar radiation data associated with the strong dimming effect likely due to increasing aerosol loadings. The bottom-up emissions are compared to field campaign measurements in Borneo and South China and further evaluated against top-down isoprene emission estimates constrained by GOME-2/MetOp-A formaldehyde columns through 2007-2012. The satellite-based estimates appear to support our assumptions, and confirm the lower emission rate in tropical forests of Indonesia and Malaysia. Additional flux measurements are clearly needed to characterize the spatial variability of emission factors better. Finally, a decreasing trend in the inferred top-down Chinese emissions since 2007


类型Article
语种英语
国家Belgium ; USA ; Switzerland ; Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000336739700015
WOS关键词ORGANIC-COMPOUND EMISSIONS ; TROPICAL RAIN-FOREST ; FORMALDEHYDE COLUMNS ; EAST-ASIA ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; BIOGENIC EMISSIONS ; GLOBAL ISOPRENE ; OIL PALM ; CHINA ; FLUXES
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/180903
作者单位1.Belgian Inst Space Aeron, B-1180 Brussels, Belgium;
2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Atmospher Chem Div, Boulder, CO 80305 USA;
3.ETH, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland;
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LAGEO, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Stavrakou, T.,Muller, J. -F.,Bauwens, M.,et al. Isoprene emissions over Asia 1979-2012: impact of climate and land-use changes[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2014,14(9):4587-4605.
APA Stavrakou, T..,Muller, J. -F..,Bauwens, M..,De Smedt, I..,Van Roozendael, M..,...&Xia, X..(2014).Isoprene emissions over Asia 1979-2012: impact of climate and land-use changes.ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,14(9),4587-4605.
MLA Stavrakou, T.,et al."Isoprene emissions over Asia 1979-2012: impact of climate and land-use changes".ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 14.9(2014):4587-4605.
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