Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-013-0387-z
Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones
Banimahd, Seyed Adib; Khalili, Davar
通讯作者Khalili, Davar
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2013
卷号27期号:11页码:3911-3928
英文摘要

Comparability analyses were carried out to investigate behavioural aspects of effective drought index (EDI), standardized precipitation index (SPI), reconnaissance drought index (RDI) and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), considering 3-month, 6-month and annual time periods. Investigations included parametric/non-parametric correlation analysis among indices, climatic zone influence, record length impacts and evapotranspiration role (RDI and SPEI) on Markov chains predictability characteristics. Except for the EDI, all indices/cases (all climatic zones) showed significant correlation. In arid/semi-arid climates, the 3-month and 6-month maximum drought severities were detected by the RDI and annual maximum drought severities were detected by the SPEI, emphasizing the evapotranspiration influence. In all climatic zones, the EDI values for wet (dry) periods were higher (lower), compared to other indices. First order dependency was detected for the EDI (all cases) and the SPI (most cases), over entire period (1951-2011) and sub-periods [(1951-1981), (1982-2011)]. The largest number of second order dependency was detected by the SPEI, followed by a relatively large number of such cases by the RDI (3-month time period), for the 61-year data period. This research showed that several factors influence Markov chains predictability characteristics in drought studies, particularly the impact of record length and evapotranspiration (RDI and SPEI) were confirmed.


英文关键词Comparability analyses Markov chains order dependency Meteorological drought indices (SPI, RDI, EDI, SPEI) Evapotranspiration role Record length influence
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000323642700005
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/180212
作者单位Shiraz Univ, Coll Agr, Water Engn Dept, Shiraz, Iran
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Banimahd, Seyed Adib,Khalili, Davar. Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones[J],2013,27(11):3911-3928.
APA Banimahd, Seyed Adib,&Khalili, Davar.(2013).Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,27(11),3911-3928.
MLA Banimahd, Seyed Adib,et al."Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 27.11(2013):3911-3928.
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