Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s11269-013-0387-z |
Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones | |
Banimahd, Seyed Adib; Khalili, Davar | |
通讯作者 | Khalili, Davar |
来源期刊 | WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
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ISSN | 0920-4741 |
EISSN | 1573-1650 |
出版年 | 2013 |
卷号 | 27期号:11页码:3911-3928 |
英文摘要 | Comparability analyses were carried out to investigate behavioural aspects of effective drought index (EDI), standardized precipitation index (SPI), reconnaissance drought index (RDI) and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), considering 3-month, 6-month and annual time periods. Investigations included parametric/non-parametric correlation analysis among indices, climatic zone influence, record length impacts and evapotranspiration role (RDI and SPEI) on Markov chains predictability characteristics. Except for the EDI, all indices/cases (all climatic zones) showed significant correlation. In arid/semi-arid climates, the 3-month and 6-month maximum drought severities were detected by the RDI and annual maximum drought severities were detected by the SPEI, emphasizing the evapotranspiration influence. In all climatic zones, the EDI values for wet (dry) periods were higher (lower), compared to other indices. First order dependency was detected for the EDI (all cases) and the SPI (most cases), over entire period (1951-2011) and sub-periods [(1951-1981), (1982-2011)]. The largest number of second order dependency was detected by the SPEI, followed by a relatively large number of such cases by the RDI (3-month time period), for the 61-year data period. This research showed that several factors influence Markov chains predictability characteristics in drought studies, particularly the impact of record length and evapotranspiration (RDI and SPEI) were confirmed. |
英文关键词 | Comparability analyses Markov chains order dependency Meteorological drought indices (SPI, RDI, EDI, SPEI) Evapotranspiration role Record length influence |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Iran |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000323642700005 |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/180212 |
作者单位 | Shiraz Univ, Coll Agr, Water Engn Dept, Shiraz, Iran |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Banimahd, Seyed Adib,Khalili, Davar. Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones[J],2013,27(11):3911-3928. |
APA | Banimahd, Seyed Adib,&Khalili, Davar.(2013).Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,27(11),3911-3928. |
MLA | Banimahd, Seyed Adib,et al."Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 27.11(2013):3911-3928. |
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