Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-012-0747-2
Non-parametric trend analysis of the aridity index for three large arid and semi-arid basins in Iran
Ahani, Hossien1; Kherad, Mehrzad1; Kousari, Mohammad Reza1; van Roosmalen, Lieke2,3; Aryanfar, Ramin4; Hosseini, Seyyed Mashaallah5
通讯作者Kousari, Mohammad Reza
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2013
卷号112期号:3-4页码:553-564
英文摘要

Currently, an important scientific challenge that researchers are facing is to gain a better understanding of climate change at the regional scale, which can be especially challenging in an area with low and highly variable precipitation amounts such as Iran. Trend analysis of the medium-term change using ground station observations of meteorological variables can enhance our knowledge of the dominant processes in an area and contribute to the analysis of future climate projections. Generally, studies focus on the long-term variability of temperature and precipitation and to a lesser extent on other important parameters such as moisture indices. In this study the recent 50-year trends (1955-2005) of precipitation (P), potential evapotranspiration (PET), and aridity index (AI) in monthly time scale were studied over 14 synoptic stations in three large Iran basins using the Mann-Kendall non-parametric test. Additionally, an analysis of the monthly, seasonal and annual trend of each parameter was performed. Results showed no significant trends in the monthly time series. However, PET showed significant, mostly decreasing trends, for the seasonal values, which resulted in a significant negative trend in annual PET at five stations. Significant negative trends in seasonal P values were only found at a number of stations in spring and summer and no station showed significant negative trends in annual P. Due to the varied positive and negative trends in annual P and to a lesser extent PET, almost as many stations with negative as positive trends in annual AI were found, indicating that both drying and wetting trends occurred in Iran. Overall, the northern part of the study area showed an increasing trend in annual AI which meant that the region became wetter, while the south showed decreasing trends in AI.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran ; Australia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000318246300015
WOS关键词PAN EVAPORATION ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; CLASSIFICATION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/180093
作者单位1.Fars Org Ctr Jahad Agr, Management Ctr Strateg Projects, Cadastral Sci Documentat Grp, Shiraz, Fars, Iran;
2.Flinders Univ S Australia, Natl Ctr Groundwater Res & Training, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia;
3.Flinders Univ S Australia, Sch Environm, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia;
4.Meteorol Res Inst, Shiraz, Fars, Iran;
5.Eqlid Agr Res Stn, Eqlid, Fars, Iran
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ahani, Hossien,Kherad, Mehrzad,Kousari, Mohammad Reza,et al. Non-parametric trend analysis of the aridity index for three large arid and semi-arid basins in Iran[J],2013,112(3-4):553-564.
APA Ahani, Hossien,Kherad, Mehrzad,Kousari, Mohammad Reza,van Roosmalen, Lieke,Aryanfar, Ramin,&Hosseini, Seyyed Mashaallah.(2013).Non-parametric trend analysis of the aridity index for three large arid and semi-arid basins in Iran.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,112(3-4),553-564.
MLA Ahani, Hossien,et al."Non-parametric trend analysis of the aridity index for three large arid and semi-arid basins in Iran".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 112.3-4(2013):553-564.
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