Arid
DOI10.1016/j.quaint.2013.07.031
Characterizing cross-scale chaotic behaviors of the runoff time series in an inland river of Central Asia
Hu, Zengyun1,2; Zhang, Chi1; Luo, Geping1; Teng, Zhidong2; Jia, Chaojun1
通讯作者Zhang, Chi
来源期刊QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL
ISSN1040-6182
出版年2013
卷号311页码:132-139
英文摘要

Understanding the multi-scale patterns and uncertainties of inland river runoff is important for runoff management and rational utilization of water resources in arid regions. This study investigates the chaotic behaviors of the runoff processes at four different time scales-daily, 2-day, 7-day and 10-day, in an inland river (Manas River) of the Central Asia dryland. The observed data period is from February 14, 1981 to October 31, 2000. Phase space reconstruction technology and chaos theory are applied to study the chaotic characteristics of runoff at different time scales. According to our analysis, the phase space diagram exhibited strange attractors in a well-defined region at all time scales, suggesting that the runoff processes in Manas River Basin was simple and can possibly be explained by deterministic chaos. All of the maximum Lyapunov exponents were positive, showing the chaotic characteristics in the runoff processes. Further, the finer resolution time series exhibits stronger chaotic characteristics than the coarser resolution time series, corresponding to the normal runoff processes. By quantifying the chaotic characteristics of the runoff time series of a typical inland river in Central Asia, this study helps water resource managers evaluate uncertainty of runoff in the arid regions, and make decisions according to the predicted runoff pattern at different time scales. The findings from this study also provide the theoretical basis and scientific foundation for cross-scale hydrologic climate model simulations and data downscaling in the arid region of Central Asia. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd and INQUA. All rights reserved.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000325843300016
WOS关键词PHASE-SPACE RECONSTRUCTION ; SMALL DATA SETS ; NOISE-REDUCTION ; CORRELATION DIMENSION ; EMBEDDING DIMENSION ; LYAPUNOV EXPONENTS ; NONLINEAR DYNAMICS ; PRACTICAL METHOD ; RAINFALL ; PREDICTION
WOS类目Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Physical Geography ; Geology
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 ; 新疆大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/179606
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China;
2.Xinjiang Univ, Coll Math & Syst Sci, Urumqi 830046, Xinjiang, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Hu, Zengyun,Zhang, Chi,Luo, Geping,et al. Characterizing cross-scale chaotic behaviors of the runoff time series in an inland river of Central Asia[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所, 新疆大学,2013,311:132-139.
APA Hu, Zengyun,Zhang, Chi,Luo, Geping,Teng, Zhidong,&Jia, Chaojun.(2013).Characterizing cross-scale chaotic behaviors of the runoff time series in an inland river of Central Asia.QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL,311,132-139.
MLA Hu, Zengyun,et al."Characterizing cross-scale chaotic behaviors of the runoff time series in an inland river of Central Asia".QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL 311(2013):132-139.
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