Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.05.019 |
Participatory modelling to support decision making in water management under uncertainty: Two comparative case studies in the Guadiana river basin, Spain | |
Carmona, Gema1; Varela-Ortega, Consuelo1; Bromley, John2 | |
通讯作者 | Carmona, Gema |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
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ISSN | 0301-4797 |
EISSN | 1095-8630 |
出版年 | 2013 |
卷号 | 128页码:400-412 |
英文摘要 | A participatory modelling process has been conducted in two areas of the Guadiana river (the upper and the middle sub-basins), in Spain, with the aim of providing support for decision making in the water management field. The area has a semi-arid climate where irrigated agriculture plays a key role in the economic development of the region and accounts for around 90% of water use. Following the guidelines of the European Water Framework Directive, we promote stakeholder involvement in water management with the aim to achieve an improved understanding of the water system and to encourage the exchange of knowledge and views between stakeholders in order to help building a shared vision of the system. At the same time, the resulting models, which integrate the different sectors and views, provide some insight of the impacts that different management options and possible future scenarios could have. The methodology is based on a Bayesian network combined with an economic model and, in the middle Guadiana sub-basin, with a crop model. The resulting integrated modelling framework is used to simulate possible water policy, market and climate scenarios to find out the impacts of those scenarios on farm income and on the environment. At the end of the modelling process, an evaluation questionnaire was filled by participants in both sub-basins. Results show that this type of processes are found very helpful by stakeholders to improve the system understanding, to understand each other’s views and to reduce conflict when it exists. In addition, they found the model an extremely useful tool to support management. The graphical interface, the quantitative output and the explicit representation of uncertainty helped stakeholders to better understand the implications of the scenario tested. Finally, the combination of different types of models was also found very useful, as it allowed exploring in detail specific aspects of the water management problems. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Participatory modelling Bayesian networks Water management IWRM |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Spain ; England |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000326203400045 |
WOS关键词 | SIMULATE YIELD RESPONSE ; FUZZY COGNITIVE MAPS ; FAO CROP MODEL ; PUBLIC-PARTICIPATION ; BAYESIAN NETWORKS ; RESOURCES MANAGEMENT ; FOREST MANAGEMENT ; BELIEF NETWORKS ; FRAMEWORK ; CONFLICT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | University of Oxford |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/178285 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSI Agron, Dept Econ & CC Sociales Agr, E-28040 Madrid, Spain; 2.Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford Water Futures Programme, Oxford OX1 3QY, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Carmona, Gema,Varela-Ortega, Consuelo,Bromley, John. Participatory modelling to support decision making in water management under uncertainty: Two comparative case studies in the Guadiana river basin, Spain[J]. University of Oxford,2013,128:400-412. |
APA | Carmona, Gema,Varela-Ortega, Consuelo,&Bromley, John.(2013).Participatory modelling to support decision making in water management under uncertainty: Two comparative case studies in the Guadiana river basin, Spain.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,128,400-412. |
MLA | Carmona, Gema,et al."Participatory modelling to support decision making in water management under uncertainty: Two comparative case studies in the Guadiana river basin, Spain".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 128(2013):400-412. |
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