Arid
DOI10.3390/ijerph10083172
Linking Climate to Incidence of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (L. major) in Pre-Saharan North Africa
Bounoua, Lahouari1; Kahime, Kholoud2; Houti, Leila3; Blakey, Tara4; Ebi, Kristie L.5; Zhang, Ping1,6; Imhoff, Marc L.7; Thome, Kurtis J.1; Dudek, Claire8; Sahabi, Salah A.9; Messouli, Mohammed10; Makhlouf, Baghdad11; El Laamrani, Abderrahmane12; Boumezzough, Ali2
通讯作者Bounoua, Lahouari
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
ISSN1660-4601
出版年2013
卷号10期号:8页码:3172-3191
英文摘要

Shifts in surface climate may have changed the dynamic of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) in the pre-Saharan zones of North Africa. Caused by Leishmania major, this form multiplies in the body of rodents serving as reservoirs of the disease. The parasite is then transmitted to human hosts by the bite of a Phlebotomine sand fly (Diptera: Psychodidae) that was previously fed by biting an infected reservoir. We examine the seasonal and interannual dynamics of the incidence of this ZCL as a function of surface climate indicators in two regions covering a large area of the semi-arid Pre-Saharan North Africa. Results suggest that in this area, changes in climate may have initiated a trophic cascade that resulted in an increase in ZCL incidence. We find the correlation between the rainy season precipitation and the same year Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to be strong for both regions while the number of cases of ZCL incidence lags the precipitation and NDVI by 2 years. The zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis seasonal dynamic appears to be controlled by minimum temperatures and presents a 2-month lag between the reported infection date and the presumed date when the infection actually occurred. The decadal increase in the number of ZCL occurrence in the region suggests that changes in climate increased minimum temperatures sufficiently and created conditions suitable for endemicity that did not previously exist. We also find that temperatures above a critical range suppress ZCL incidence by limiting the vector’s reproductive activity.


英文关键词cutaneous leishmaniasis surface climate indicators incidence climate NDVI North Africa
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; Morocco ; Algeria
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000330526700006
WOS关键词PHLEBOTOMUS-PAPATASI DIPTERA ; SEASONAL DISTRIBUTION ; LUTZOMYIA-OVALLESI ; TEMPORAL DYNAMICS ; SOUTHWEST ASIA ; SAND FLIES ; PSYCHODIDAE ; MOROCCO ; TRANSMISSION ; POPULATIONS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/177725
作者单位1.NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Biospher Sci Lab, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA;
2.Cadi Ayyad Univ, Lab Ecol & Environm, Marrakech 40000, Morocco;
3.Fac Med, Sidi Bel Abbes 22000, Algeria;
4.Florida Int Univ, Miami, FL 33199 USA;
5.ClimAdapt LLC, Los Altos, CA 94022 USA;
6.Earth Resources Technol Inc, Laurel, MD 20707 USA;
7.Pacific NW Natl Lab, Joint Global Change Res Inst, College Pk, MD 20740 USA;
8.Bethesda Chevy Chase High Sch, Bethesda, MD 20814 USA;
9.Hydrometeorol Inst Training & Res, Oran 31025, Algeria;
10.Cadi Ayyad Univ, Lab Hydrobiol Ecotoxicol & Sanitat, Marrakech 40000, Morocco;
11.Estab Local Publ Hlth, Saida 20000, Algeria;
12.Minist Hlth, Directorate Epidemiol & Dis Control, Rabat 10010, Morocco
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bounoua, Lahouari,Kahime, Kholoud,Houti, Leila,et al. Linking Climate to Incidence of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (L. major) in Pre-Saharan North Africa[J],2013,10(8):3172-3191.
APA Bounoua, Lahouari.,Kahime, Kholoud.,Houti, Leila.,Blakey, Tara.,Ebi, Kristie L..,...&Boumezzough, Ali.(2013).Linking Climate to Incidence of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (L. major) in Pre-Saharan North Africa.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,10(8),3172-3191.
MLA Bounoua, Lahouari,et al."Linking Climate to Incidence of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (L. major) in Pre-Saharan North Africa".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 10.8(2013):3172-3191.
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