Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.3509
Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India
Vigaud, N.1; Vrac, M.2; Caballero, Y.3
通讯作者Vigaud, N.
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
出版年2013
卷号33期号:5页码:1248-1263
英文摘要

The cumulative distribution function transform (CDF-t) is used to downscale daily precipitation and surface temperatures from a set of Global climate model (GCM) climatic projections over southern India. To deal with the full annual cycle, the approach has been applied by months, allowing downscaled projections for all seasons. First, CDF-t is validated over a historical period using observation from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Resulting high resolution fields show substantial improvements compared to original GCM outputs in terms of distribution, seasonal cycle and monsoon means for arid, semi-arid and wetter regions of the subcontinent. Then, CDF-t is applied to GCM large-scale fields to project rainfall and surface temperature changes for the 21st century under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. The results obtained show an increase of rainfall, mostly during the monsoon season, while winter precipitation is reduced, and suggest a widespread warming especially in the winter and post-monsoon season. Copyright (c) 2012 Royal Meteorological Society


英文关键词downscaling climatic scenarios southern India
类型Article
语种英语
国家France
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000317423800016
WOS关键词SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE SCENARIOS ; COUPLED MODEL ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATIONS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/177697
作者单位1.Bur Rech Geol & Minieres, Serv EAU, Montpellier, France;
2.CEA CNRS UVSQ, Lab Sci Climat & Environm LSCE IPSL, Gif Sur Yvette, France;
3.Bur Rech Geol & Minieres, Serv Geol Reg, Montpellier, France
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Vigaud, N.,Vrac, M.,Caballero, Y.. Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India[J],2013,33(5):1248-1263.
APA Vigaud, N.,Vrac, M.,&Caballero, Y..(2013).Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,33(5),1248-1263.
MLA Vigaud, N.,et al."Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 33.5(2013):1248-1263.
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