Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/joc.3509 |
Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India | |
Vigaud, N.1; Vrac, M.2; Caballero, Y.3 | |
通讯作者 | Vigaud, N. |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
出版年 | 2013 |
卷号 | 33期号:5页码:1248-1263 |
英文摘要 | The cumulative distribution function transform (CDF-t) is used to downscale daily precipitation and surface temperatures from a set of Global climate model (GCM) climatic projections over southern India. To deal with the full annual cycle, the approach has been applied by months, allowing downscaled projections for all seasons. First, CDF-t is validated over a historical period using observation from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Resulting high resolution fields show substantial improvements compared to original GCM outputs in terms of distribution, seasonal cycle and monsoon means for arid, semi-arid and wetter regions of the subcontinent. Then, CDF-t is applied to GCM large-scale fields to project rainfall and surface temperature changes for the 21st century under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. The results obtained show an increase of rainfall, mostly during the monsoon season, while winter precipitation is reduced, and suggest a widespread warming especially in the winter and post-monsoon season. Copyright (c) 2012 Royal Meteorological Society |
英文关键词 | downscaling climatic scenarios southern India |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000317423800016 |
WOS关键词 | SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE SCENARIOS ; COUPLED MODEL ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATIONS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/177697 |
作者单位 | 1.Bur Rech Geol & Minieres, Serv EAU, Montpellier, France; 2.CEA CNRS UVSQ, Lab Sci Climat & Environm LSCE IPSL, Gif Sur Yvette, France; 3.Bur Rech Geol & Minieres, Serv Geol Reg, Montpellier, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vigaud, N.,Vrac, M.,Caballero, Y.. Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India[J],2013,33(5):1248-1263. |
APA | Vigaud, N.,Vrac, M.,&Caballero, Y..(2013).Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,33(5),1248-1263. |
MLA | Vigaud, N.,et al."Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 33.5(2013):1248-1263. |
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