Arid
DOI10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.09.017
Statistical models for use of palaeosol magnetic properties as proxies of palaeorainfall
Maher, B. A.1; Possolo, A.2
通讯作者Maher, B. A.
来源期刊GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
ISSN0921-8181
EISSN1872-6364
出版年2013
卷号111页码:280-287
英文摘要

The magnetic properties of well-drained, near-neutral modem soils exhibit strong relationships with mean annual precipitation (MAP, conventional 30-year averages). The pedogenic magnetic susceptibility is low for low MAP values (approximate to 300 mm/yr), increases with increasing MAP (up to approximate to 1500 mm/yr), and then flattens or declines for higher MAP values. These relationships have been amply documented, characterised quantitatively, and used for Quaternary palaeorainfall reconstructions. However, neither the fitting of climofunctions nor the evaluation of the associated uncertainty had yet been done recognizing the measurement errors that invariably affect the values of magnetic susceptibility and of MAP. Using published datasets - from the Great Plains of the United States, from the Chinese Loess Plateau and the Russian steppe, from arid and tropical areas of Mali, and from Mediterranean and Saharan regions of Morocco - we illustrate the development and calibration of statistical models that enable the use of magnetic properties of palaeosols as proxies for palaeorainfall. The methods we use (errors-in-variables regression) take into account the measurement errors that inevitably affect both the measurements of magnetic susceptibility, and of rainfall. We also characterise the uncertainty of the palaeoclimatic reconstructions that these models produce, and show that the uncertainty with which we can estimate the long-term (over hundreds of years) average values of MAP that truly characterise the prevailing climate, is sufficiently small to enable reliable palaeoclimate reconstructions. As an example, we provide an assessment of the uncertainty of the Holocene palaeorainfall reconstruction for Duowa, Qinghai Province, in the Chinese Loess Plateau, which corroborates the changes in the regimen of monsoons detected in previous studies. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Palaeoclimate Palaeorainfall Magnetic susceptibility Pedogenesis Palaeosol Climofunction Logistic curve Errors-in-variables Bootstrap Simultaneous confidence region
类型Article
语种英语
国家England ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000329378000023
WOS关键词CHINESE LOESS PLATEAU ; MODERN SOILS ; SUSCEPTIBILITY ; CALIBRATION ; RECORD ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; REGRESSION ; TIMESCALE ; INTERVALS ; CLIMATE
WOS类目Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Physical Geography ; Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/177427
作者单位1.Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Ctr Environm Magnetism & Palaeomagnetism, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, England;
2.NIST, Stat Engn Div, Informat Technol Lab, Gaithersburg, MD 20899 USA
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GB/T 7714
Maher, B. A.,Possolo, A.. Statistical models for use of palaeosol magnetic properties as proxies of palaeorainfall[J],2013,111:280-287.
APA Maher, B. A.,&Possolo, A..(2013).Statistical models for use of palaeosol magnetic properties as proxies of palaeorainfall.GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,111,280-287.
MLA Maher, B. A.,et al."Statistical models for use of palaeosol magnetic properties as proxies of palaeorainfall".GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 111(2013):280-287.
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