Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-013-0821-5
A survey of temporal and spatial reference crop evapotranspiration trends in Iran from 1960 to 2005
Kousari, Mohammad Reza1,2; Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi3; Ahani, Hossein1; Hakimelahi, Hemila1
通讯作者Kousari, Mohammad Reza
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2013
卷号120期号:1-2页码:277-298
英文摘要

Reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is one of the most important climatic parameters which plays a key role in estimating crop water demand and scheduling irrigation. Under global warming and climate change conditions, it is needed to survey the trend of ET0 in Iran. In this study, ET0 values were determined based on FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation over 32 synoptic meteorological stations during 1960-2005; and analyzed spatially and temporally in monthly, seasonal and annual time scales. After removing the significant lag-1 serial correlation effect by pre-whitening, non-parametric statistical Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to detect the trends. The slope of the changes was determined by Sen’s slope estimator. In order to facilitate in trend analysis, the 10 moving average low pass filter were also applied on the normalized annual ET0 time series. Annual ET0 time series and filtered ones were then classified by hierarchical clustering in three clusters and then mapped in order to show the patterns of different clusters. Results showed that the significant decreasing trends were more considerable than increasing ones. Among surveyed stations, and on an annual time scale, the highest and lowest annual values of Sen’s slope estimator were observed in Tabas with (+) 72.14 mm per decade and Shahrud with (-) 62.22 mm per decade, respectively. Results also indicated that the clustered map based on normalized and filtered annual ET0 time series is in accordance with another map which showed spatial distribution of increasing, decreasing and non-significant trends of ET0 on annually time scale. Exploratory and visual analysis of smoothed time series showed increasing trend in recent years especially after 1980 and 1995. In brief, the upward trend of ET0 in recent years is a crucial issue with regard to the high cost of dam construction for agricultural aims in arid and semi-arid regions e.g. Iran.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran ; Australia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000323276900020
WOS关键词CLUSTER-ANALYSIS ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; PAN EVAPORATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; REGIONS ; PRECIPITATION ; COEFFICIENT ; MODELS ; BOOTSTRAP ; ECOSYSTEM
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/176470
作者单位1.Fars Org Ctr Jahad Agr, Management Ctr Strateg Projects, Shiraz, Iran;
2.Yazd Univ, Fac Nat Resource Management, Yazd, Iran;
3.Univ New S Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kousari, Mohammad Reza,Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi,Ahani, Hossein,et al. A survey of temporal and spatial reference crop evapotranspiration trends in Iran from 1960 to 2005[J],2013,120(1-2):277-298.
APA Kousari, Mohammad Reza,Zarch, Mohammad Amin Asadi,Ahani, Hossein,&Hakimelahi, Hemila.(2013).A survey of temporal and spatial reference crop evapotranspiration trends in Iran from 1960 to 2005.CLIMATIC CHANGE,120(1-2),277-298.
MLA Kousari, Mohammad Reza,et al."A survey of temporal and spatial reference crop evapotranspiration trends in Iran from 1960 to 2005".CLIMATIC CHANGE 120.1-2(2013):277-298.
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