Arid
DOI10.1007/s00382-012-1498-6
The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa
Oguntunde, Philip G.1,2; Abiodun, Babatunde J.3
通讯作者Oguntunde, Philip G.
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2013
卷号40期号:1-2页码:81-94
英文摘要

Climate change has the potential to reduce water availability in West Africa. This study aims to quantify the expected impact of increased greenhouse gases (GHGs) on hydroclimatology of Niger River Basin (NRB). Boundary data from a general circulation model are used to force a regional climate model, to produce dynamically downscaled hydroclimatic variables of NRB under present-day (PRS) and future climate scenarios. The data were further analyzed to detect changes in atmospheric and surface water balance components and moisture recycling ratio (beta). The results show that elevated GHGs (under A1B scenario) would produce a drier climate during the rainy season and a wetter climate during the dry season. A warmer climate over NRB in all months was projected. Highest temperature increase of 3 A degrees C occurs about 14A degrees N in May and June, and the smallest increase of 0.5 A degrees C occurs below 8A degrees N in wet-dry transition period. Evaporation reduces during wet season and increases during the dry periods. Humidity increases by 2 % in the dry season, but decreases by 2-4 % in the wet season. Maximum change in moisture influx of 20.7 % and outflux of 20.6 % occur in June and July, respectively. beta is projected to decrease in 75 % of the months with biggest relative change of -18.4 % in June. The projected decrease in precipitation efficiency (rho) during the wet season reaches -20.3 % in June. For PRS run, about 66 % of the available atmospheric moisture in NRB precipitates between June and September, of which around 21 % originates from local evaporation. The result suggests that under enhanced GHGs, local evaporation will contribute less to atmospheric moisture and precipitation over the basin. Projected changes in rainfall and streamflow for Upper Niger and Benue sub-basin are significantly different during the wet season.


英文关键词Climate change Niger River Basin Hydroclimatology Water balance Moisture recycling ratios
类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany ; Nigeria ; South Africa
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000313033100005
WOS关键词LAND-USE CHANGE ; MODEL ; VARIABILITY ; REGCM3 ; SIMULATIONS ; DESERTIFICATION ; 20TH-CENTURY ; VALIDATION ; RAINFALL ; FORCINGS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/176441
作者单位1.Leibniz Ctr Agr Landscape Res ZALF, Inst Landscape Hydrol, D-15374 Muncheberg, Germany;
2.Fed Univ Technol Akure, Dept Agr Engn, Soil Water & Environm Sect, Akure, Nigeria;
3.Univ Cape Town, Dept Environm & Geog Sci, ZA-7925 Cape Town, South Africa
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Oguntunde, Philip G.,Abiodun, Babatunde J.. The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa[J],2013,40(1-2):81-94.
APA Oguntunde, Philip G.,&Abiodun, Babatunde J..(2013).The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,40(1-2),81-94.
MLA Oguntunde, Philip G.,et al."The impact of climate change on the Niger River Basin hydroclimatology, West Africa".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 40.1-2(2013):81-94.
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