Arid
DOI10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000202
Agriculture Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in Semiarid Chile
Vicuna, Sebastian1; McPhee, James2,3; Garreaud, Rene D.3,4
通讯作者McPhee, James
来源期刊JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT-ASCE
ISSN0733-9496
出版年2012
卷号138期号:5页码:431-441
英文摘要

The Limari River basin is one of the most important watersheds in north-central Chile (30 S). Its headwaters lie at the top of the subtropical Andes (> 5; 000 m above sea level) and the river flows westward into the Pacific Ocean over a length of approximately 200 km. This basin has a marked snowmelt-driven hydrological regime and, in spite of the arid conditions that characterize this region, holds more than 50,000 ha of highly productive agricultural land thanks to its irrigation infrastructure and three interconnected reservoirs. Like many semiarid regions around the world, north-central Chile is expected to become warmer and drier during the 21st century as a consequence of ongoing anthropogenic climate change. The associated reduction in streamflow, changes in hydrograph timing, and enhanced evapotranspiration will undoubtedly threaten agriculture in the Limari basin and elsewhere in semiarid Chile. In this paper, the effect of temperature and precipitation on surface hydrology, performance of water infrastructure, and irrigation coverage in the Limari basin is investigated by using the water evaluation and planning (WEAP) model. WEAP was calibrated by using current climate and agriculture patterns, and then forced with a set of 30-year-long climate scenarios, each of them obtained by adding a temperature and precipitation perturbation to the historical time series. This delta approach allows (1) determination of the sensitivity of selected variables to climate change, and (2) obtaining a projection of the effects in irrigation coverage expected for the near and far future (2010-2040 and 2070-2100, respectively). Both aspects are investigated for agricultural districts with varying access to irrigation infrastructure and groundwater; this exercise highlights the relevance of added storage and innovative conjunctive use of surface and groundwater resources for improving the resilience and adaptability of irrigated agriculture in the face of a changing climate. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000202. (C) 2012 American Society of Civil Engineers.


英文关键词Climate change Water resources Vulnerability Agriculture Semiarid regions Reservoir systems
类型Article
语种英语
国家Chile
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000313359200007
WOS关键词PRIORITY-DRIVEN ; DEMAND-DRIVEN ; CALIFORNIA ; HYDROLOGY ; WEAP21
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/173933
作者单位1.Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Ctr Interdisciplinario Cambio Global, Santiago, Chile;
2.Univ Chile, Fac Ciencias Fis & Matemat, Dept Civil Engn, Santiago, Chile;
3.Univ Chile, Fac Ciencias Fis & Matemat, Adv Min Technol Ctr, Santiago, Chile;
4.Univ Chile, Fac Ciencias Fis & Matemat, Dept Geophys, Santiago, Chile
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Vicuna, Sebastian,McPhee, James,Garreaud, Rene D.. Agriculture Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in Semiarid Chile[J],2012,138(5):431-441.
APA Vicuna, Sebastian,McPhee, James,&Garreaud, Rene D..(2012).Agriculture Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in Semiarid Chile.JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT-ASCE,138(5),431-441.
MLA Vicuna, Sebastian,et al."Agriculture Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in Semiarid Chile".JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT-ASCE 138.5(2012):431-441.
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