Arid
DOI10.5194/hess-16-3341-2012
Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications
Crosbie, R. S.1; Pollock, D. W.2; Mpelasoka, F. S.3; Barron, O. V.2; Charles, S. P.2; Donn, M. J.2
通讯作者Crosbie, R. S.
来源期刊HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN1027-5606
EISSN1607-7938
出版年2012
卷号16期号:9页码:3341-3349
英文摘要

The Koppen-Geiger climate classification has been used for over a century to delineate climate types across the globe. As it was developed to mimic the distribution of vegetation, it may provide a useful surrogate for making projections of the future distribution of vegetation, and hence resultant hydrological implications, under climate change scenarios. This paper developed projections of the Koppen-Geiger climate types covering the Australian continent for a 2030 and 2050 climate relative to a 1990 historical baseline climate using 17 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and five global warming scenarios. At the highest level of classification for a +2.4 degrees C future climate (the upper limit projected for 2050) relative to the historical baseline, it was projected that the area of the continent covered by


- tropical climate types would increase from 8.8% to 9.1%;


- arid climate types would increase from 76.5% to 81.7%;


- temperate climate types would decrease from 14.7% to 9.2%;


- cold climate types would decrease from 0.016% to 0.001%.


Previous climate change impact studies on water resources in Australia have assumed a static vegetation distribution. If the change in projected climate types is used as a surrogate for a change in vegetation, then the major transition in climate from temperate to arid in parts of Australia under a drier future climate could cause indirect effects on water resources. A transition from annual cropping to perennial grassland would have a compounding effect on the projected reduction in recharge. In contrast, a transition from forest to grassland would have a mitigating effect on the projected reduction in runoff.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000310475400021
WOS关键词CHANGE IMPACTS ; GROUNDWATER RECHARGE ; WORLD MAP ; VEGETATION ; DATASET ; RUNOFF
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/172804
作者单位1.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Glen Osmond, SA 5064, Australia;
2.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia;
3.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Crosbie, R. S.,Pollock, D. W.,Mpelasoka, F. S.,et al. Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications[J]. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,2012,16(9):3341-3349.
APA Crosbie, R. S.,Pollock, D. W.,Mpelasoka, F. S.,Barron, O. V.,Charles, S. P.,&Donn, M. J..(2012).Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications.HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,16(9),3341-3349.
MLA Crosbie, R. S.,et al."Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications".HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 16.9(2012):3341-3349.
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