Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.5194/hess-16-3341-2012 |
Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications | |
Crosbie, R. S.1; Pollock, D. W.2; Mpelasoka, F. S.3; Barron, O. V.2; Charles, S. P.2; Donn, M. J.2 | |
通讯作者 | Crosbie, R. S. |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
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ISSN | 1027-5606 |
EISSN | 1607-7938 |
出版年 | 2012 |
卷号 | 16期号:9页码:3341-3349 |
英文摘要 | The Koppen-Geiger climate classification has been used for over a century to delineate climate types across the globe. As it was developed to mimic the distribution of vegetation, it may provide a useful surrogate for making projections of the future distribution of vegetation, and hence resultant hydrological implications, under climate change scenarios. This paper developed projections of the Koppen-Geiger climate types covering the Australian continent for a 2030 and 2050 climate relative to a 1990 historical baseline climate using 17 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and five global warming scenarios. At the highest level of classification for a +2.4 degrees C future climate (the upper limit projected for 2050) relative to the historical baseline, it was projected that the area of the continent covered by - tropical climate types would increase from 8.8% to 9.1%; - arid climate types would increase from 76.5% to 81.7%; - temperate climate types would decrease from 14.7% to 9.2%; - cold climate types would decrease from 0.016% to 0.001%. Previous climate change impact studies on water resources in Australia have assumed a static vegetation distribution. If the change in projected climate types is used as a surrogate for a change in vegetation, then the major transition in climate from temperate to arid in parts of Australia under a drier future climate could cause indirect effects on water resources. A transition from annual cropping to perennial grassland would have a compounding effect on the projected reduction in recharge. In contrast, a transition from forest to grassland would have a mitigating effect on the projected reduction in runoff. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000310475400021 |
WOS关键词 | CHANGE IMPACTS ; GROUNDWATER RECHARGE ; WORLD MAP ; VEGETATION ; DATASET ; RUNOFF |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Water Resources |
来源机构 | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/172804 |
作者单位 | 1.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Glen Osmond, SA 5064, Australia; 2.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia; 3.CSIRO Land & Water, CSIRO Water Hlth Country Natl Res Flagship, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Crosbie, R. S.,Pollock, D. W.,Mpelasoka, F. S.,et al. Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications[J]. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,2012,16(9):3341-3349. |
APA | Crosbie, R. S.,Pollock, D. W.,Mpelasoka, F. S.,Barron, O. V.,Charles, S. P.,&Donn, M. J..(2012).Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications.HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,16(9),3341-3349. |
MLA | Crosbie, R. S.,et al."Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications".HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 16.9(2012):3341-3349. |
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