Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-011-0200-z
Climatic trends and impact of climate change on agriculture in an arid Andean valley
Fiebig-Wittmaack, Melitta1,2; Astudillo, Orlando2; Wheaton, Elaine3,4; Wittrock, Virginia3; Perez, Cesar5; Ibacache, Antonio2,6
通讯作者Fiebig-Wittmaack, Melitta
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
出版年2012
卷号111期号:3-4页码:819-833
英文摘要

Little is known about climate change and its impacts for the arid coastal and mountainous regions in northern Chile. The Elqui river basin, part of the Norte Chico of Chile between 27 degrees S and 33 degrees S latitude, is located south of the hyper-arid Atacama desert. Despite water scarcity, agricultural development in this region has been enhanced by agronomic practices and the marketing of valuable products. This paper characterizes the actual climate conditions and presents an overview and analyses of past climate variability, and future possible climate trends, emphasizing those relevant to agriculture. Precipitation shows an important decrease during the first decades of the past century. Runoff shows decreasing trends for the first half of the past century and increases for 1960 to 1985. Drought appears to be increasing. Statistical downscaling was accomplished using the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator. Both future periods of 2011 to 2030 and 2046-65 showed trends to higher minimum and maximum temperature. The number of hot days (maximum temperature greater than or equal to 30 degrees C) has a strong increasing trend during October to April. Even though the downscaled results for precipitation do not show trends, the continuation of the present trend of low amounts is a concern. We discuss some implications of climatic changes for agriculture and we emphasize the importance of adaptation, especially to deal with water scarcity.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Chile ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000305281200017
WOS关键词CENTRAL CHILE ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/171836
作者单位1.Univ La Serena, Dept Matemat, La Serena 1720170, Chile;
2.Ctr Estudios Avanzados Zonas Aridas CEAZA, La Serena, Chile;
3.Saskatchewan Res Council, Saskatoon, SK, Canada;
4.Univ Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada;
5.Prairie Adaptat Res Collaborat PARC, Regina, SK, Canada;
6.Inst Invest Agropecuarias INIA, La Serena, Chile
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Fiebig-Wittmaack, Melitta,Astudillo, Orlando,Wheaton, Elaine,et al. Climatic trends and impact of climate change on agriculture in an arid Andean valley[J],2012,111(3-4):819-833.
APA Fiebig-Wittmaack, Melitta,Astudillo, Orlando,Wheaton, Elaine,Wittrock, Virginia,Perez, Cesar,&Ibacache, Antonio.(2012).Climatic trends and impact of climate change on agriculture in an arid Andean valley.CLIMATIC CHANGE,111(3-4),819-833.
MLA Fiebig-Wittmaack, Melitta,et al."Climatic trends and impact of climate change on agriculture in an arid Andean valley".CLIMATIC CHANGE 111.3-4(2012):819-833.
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