Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10531-012-0346-7 |
Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change | |
de Oliveira, Guilherme1,2; Araujo, Miguel Bastos3,4,5; Rangel, Thiago Fernado1; Alagador, Diogo4; Felizola Diniz-Filho, Jose Alexandre1 | |
通讯作者 | de Oliveira, Guilherme |
来源期刊 | BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION
![]() |
ISSN | 0960-3115 |
EISSN | 1572-9710 |
出版年 | 2012 |
卷号 | 21期号:11页码:2913-2926 |
英文摘要 | The Caatinga is a semiarid biome of the northeast of Brazil with only 1 % of its territory currently conserved. The biome’s biodiversity is highly threatened due to exposure to land conversion for agricultural and cattle ranch. Climate forecasts predict increases in aridity, which could pose additional threats to the biome’s biodiversity. Here, we ask if the remnants of natural vegetation in Caatinga biome, where endemic terrestrial vertebrate species occur, are likely to retain more climatic suitability under climate change scenarios than other less pristine areas of the biome. In order to assess changes in climate suitability across individual species ranges, ensemble forecasting was used based on seven bioclimatic envelope models, three atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, and two greenhouse emission gas scenarios for 2020, 2050, and 2080. We found that most species will gain climatic suitability in the natural vegetation remnants of the Caatinga. Such gains are even greater than the expected to occur within random sets of areas with size similar to the natural vegetation remnants. Our results suggest that natural vegetation remnants will likely play a role of climate refuges for endemic vertebrate species, so efforts should be concentrated in these regions. |
英文关键词 | Ensemble of forecasts Species climatic suitability Natural vegetation remnants Endemic vertebrates |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil ; Spain ; Portugal ; Denmark |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000308544100012 |
WOS关键词 | CONSERVATION BIOGEOGRAPHY ; SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION ; NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL ; GEOGRAPHICAL ECOLOGY ; EXTINCTION RISK ; MACROECOLOGY ; AREAS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; BIODIVERSITY ; DESERTIFICATION |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/171537 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Fed Goias, Dept Ecol, Inst Ciencias Biol 1, Lab Ecol Teor & Sintese, BR-74001970 Goiania, Go, Brazil; 2.Univ Fed Goias, Programa Posgrad Ecol & Evolucao, BR-74001970 Goiania, Go, Brazil; 3.CSIC, Natl Museum Nat Hist, Dept Biodivers & Evolutionary Biol, Integrat Biol & Global Change Grp, E-28006 Madrid, Spain; 4.Univ Evora, CIBIO, Rui Nabeiro Biodivers Chair, P-7000 Evora, Portugal; 5.Univ Copenhagen, Dept Biol, Ctr Macroecol Evolut & Climate, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | de Oliveira, Guilherme,Araujo, Miguel Bastos,Rangel, Thiago Fernado,et al. Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change[J],2012,21(11):2913-2926. |
APA | de Oliveira, Guilherme,Araujo, Miguel Bastos,Rangel, Thiago Fernado,Alagador, Diogo,&Felizola Diniz-Filho, Jose Alexandre.(2012).Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change.BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION,21(11),2913-2926. |
MLA | de Oliveira, Guilherme,et al."Conserving the Brazilian semiarid (Caatinga) biome under climate change".BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION 21.11(2012):2913-2926. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。