Arid
DOI10.1073/pnas.1008279108
Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009
Olmstead, Alan L.2; Rhode, Paul W.1
通讯作者Rhode, Paul W.
来源期刊PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN0027-8424
出版年2011
卷号108期号:2页码:480-485
英文摘要

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects that temperatures in the major grain-growing areas of North America will rise by 3-4 degrees C by 2100. Such abrupt changes will create major challenges, significantly altering the area suitable for wheat. The historical record offers insight into the capability of agriculture to adapt to climatic challenges. Using a new county-level dataset on wheat production and climate norms, we show that during the 19th and 20th centuries North American grain farmers pushed wheat production into environments once considered too arid, too variable, and too harsh to cultivate. As summary measures, the median annual precipitation norm of the 2007 distribution of North American wheat production was one-half that of the 1839 distribution, and the median annual temperature norm was 3.7 degrees C lower. This shift, which occurred mostly before 1929, required new biological technologies. The Green Revolution associated with the pioneering work of Norman Borlaug represented an important advance in this longer process of biological innovation. However, well before the Green Revolution, generations of North American farmers overcame significant climatic challenges.


英文关键词adaptation agricultural technology food security
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000286097700014
WOS关键词EXTREMES INDEXES
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
来源机构University of California, Davis
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/170139
作者单位1.Univ Michigan, Dept Econ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA;
2.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Econ, Davis, CA 95616 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Olmstead, Alan L.,Rhode, Paul W.. Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009[J]. University of California, Davis,2011,108(2):480-485.
APA Olmstead, Alan L.,&Rhode, Paul W..(2011).Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,108(2),480-485.
MLA Olmstead, Alan L.,et al."Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 108.2(2011):480-485.
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