Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.1008279108 |
Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009 | |
Olmstead, Alan L.2; Rhode, Paul W.1 | |
通讯作者 | Rhode, Paul W. |
来源期刊 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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ISSN | 0027-8424 |
出版年 | 2011 |
卷号 | 108期号:2页码:480-485 |
英文摘要 | The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects that temperatures in the major grain-growing areas of North America will rise by 3-4 degrees C by 2100. Such abrupt changes will create major challenges, significantly altering the area suitable for wheat. The historical record offers insight into the capability of agriculture to adapt to climatic challenges. Using a new county-level dataset on wheat production and climate norms, we show that during the 19th and 20th centuries North American grain farmers pushed wheat production into environments once considered too arid, too variable, and too harsh to cultivate. As summary measures, the median annual precipitation norm of the 2007 distribution of North American wheat production was one-half that of the 1839 distribution, and the median annual temperature norm was 3.7 degrees C lower. This shift, which occurred mostly before 1929, required new biological technologies. The Green Revolution associated with the pioneering work of Norman Borlaug represented an important advance in this longer process of biological innovation. However, well before the Green Revolution, generations of North American farmers overcame significant climatic challenges. |
英文关键词 | adaptation agricultural technology food security |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000286097700014 |
WOS关键词 | EXTREMES INDEXES |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
来源机构 | University of California, Davis |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/170139 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Michigan, Dept Econ, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; 2.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Econ, Davis, CA 95616 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Olmstead, Alan L.,Rhode, Paul W.. Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009[J]. University of California, Davis,2011,108(2):480-485. |
APA | Olmstead, Alan L.,&Rhode, Paul W..(2011).Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,108(2),480-485. |
MLA | Olmstead, Alan L.,et al."Adapting North American wheat production to climatic challenges, 1839-2009".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 108.2(2011):480-485. |
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