Arid
DOI10.1029/2011JD016004
Warming and drying of the eastern Mediterranean: Additional evidence from trend analysis
Shohami, David2; Dayan, Uri1; Morin, Efrat1
通讯作者Shohami, David
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN2169-897X
EISSN2169-8996
出版年2011
卷号116
英文摘要

The climate of the eastern Mediterranean (EM), at the transition zone between the Mediterranean climate and the semi-arid/arid climate, has been studied for a 39-year period to determine whether climate changes have taken place. A thorough trend analysis using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test with Sen’s slope estimator has been applied to ground station measurements, atmospheric reanalysis data, synoptic classification data and global data sets for the years 1964-2003. In addition, changes in atmospheric regional patterns between the first and last twenty years were determined by visual comparisons of their composite mean. The main findings of the analysis are: 1) changes of atmospheric conditions during summer and the transitional seasons (mainly autumn) support a warmer climate over the EM and this change is already statistically evident in surface temperatures having exhibited positive trends of 0.2-1 degrees C/decade; 2) changes of atmospheric conditions during winter and the transitional seasons support drier conditions due to reduction in cyclogenesis and specific humidity over the EM, but this change is not yet statistically evident in surface station rain data, presumably because of the high natural precipitation variance masking such a change. The overall conclusion of this study is that the EM region is under climate change leading to warmer and drier conditions.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Israel
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000297267400003
WOS关键词ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY-LAYER ; TEMPORAL BEHAVIOR ; AIR-TEMPERATURE ; DECADAL TRENDS ; MIDDLE-EAST ; ISRAEL ; PRECIPITATION ; RAINFALL ; PATTERNS ; SUMMER
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构Hebrew University of Jerusalem
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/169195
作者单位1.Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Dept Geog, IL-91905 Jerusalem, Israel;
2.Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Dept Ecol Evolut & Behav, Movement Ecol Lab, IL-91905 Jerusalem, Israel
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shohami, David,Dayan, Uri,Morin, Efrat. Warming and drying of the eastern Mediterranean: Additional evidence from trend analysis[J]. Hebrew University of Jerusalem,2011,116.
APA Shohami, David,Dayan, Uri,&Morin, Efrat.(2011).Warming and drying of the eastern Mediterranean: Additional evidence from trend analysis.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,116.
MLA Shohami, David,et al."Warming and drying of the eastern Mediterranean: Additional evidence from trend analysis".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 116(2011).
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