Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s11442-011-0854-5 |
Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana | |
Batisani, Nnyaladzi | |
通讯作者 | Batisani, Nnyaladzi |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
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ISSN | 1009-637X |
出版年 | 2011 |
卷号 | 21期号:3页码:417-428 |
英文摘要 | The fourth assessment report of the IPCC highlights that the global average surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees C by the year 2100 compared to current climate. Given that climate is the most important driver of the hydrological cycle, the rise in temperature could cause changes in occurrence patterns of extreme hydrologic events like streamflow droughts. An increase in frequency and severity of these events could pose serious challenges for sustainable management of water resources particular in arid regions. However, the understanding of water resources dynamics and the possible impacts of climate change on these dynamics is hindered by uncertainties in climate change models and complex hydrological responses of streams and catchments to climatic changes. Therefore observational evidence of streamflow dynamics at the local scale could play a crucial role in addressing these uncertainties and achieving a fuller reconciliation between model-based scenarios and ground truth. This paper determines spatial and temporal changes in streamflow volumes and their association with climatic factors based on the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and ANOVA to determine possible changes in streamflow over the years and their relation to climatic factors. Streamflow is generally stochastic highlighting the importance of factoring in temporal flow variability in water resources planning. There is no clear evidence that changes in climatic variables are related to streamflow behaviour. |
英文关键词 | Botswana streamflow climate change water resources trend analysis |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Botswana |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000288970200003 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL WATER-RESOURCES ; EL-NINO ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; CHANGING CLIMATE ; OKAVANGO RIVER ; AFRICA ; FUTURE ; MODEL ; IMPACTS ; BASIN |
WOS类目 | Geography, Physical |
WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography |
来源机构 | Arizona State University |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/169164 |
作者单位 | (1)Univ Botswana, Dept Agr Engn & Land Planning, Gaborone, Botswana |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Batisani, Nnyaladzi. Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana[J]. Arizona State University,2011,21(3):417-428. |
APA | Batisani, Nnyaladzi.(2011).Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,21(3),417-428. |
MLA | Batisani, Nnyaladzi."Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 21.3(2011):417-428. |
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