Arid
DOI10.1007/s11442-011-0854-5
Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana
Batisani, Nnyaladzi
通讯作者Batisani, Nnyaladzi
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN1009-637X
出版年2011
卷号21期号:3页码:417-428
英文摘要

The fourth assessment report of the IPCC highlights that the global average surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.8 to 4.0 degrees C by the year 2100 compared to current climate. Given that climate is the most important driver of the hydrological cycle, the rise in temperature could cause changes in occurrence patterns of extreme hydrologic events like streamflow droughts. An increase in frequency and severity of these events could pose serious challenges for sustainable management of water resources particular in arid regions. However, the understanding of water resources dynamics and the possible impacts of climate change on these dynamics is hindered by uncertainties in climate change models and complex hydrological responses of streams and catchments to climatic changes. Therefore observational evidence of streamflow dynamics at the local scale could play a crucial role in addressing these uncertainties and achieving a fuller reconciliation between model-based scenarios and ground truth. This paper determines spatial and temporal changes in streamflow volumes and their association with climatic factors based on the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and ANOVA to determine possible changes in streamflow over the years and their relation to climatic factors. Streamflow is generally stochastic highlighting the importance of factoring in temporal flow variability in water resources planning. There is no clear evidence that changes in climatic variables are related to streamflow behaviour.


英文关键词Botswana streamflow climate change water resources trend analysis
类型Article
语种英语
国家Botswana
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000288970200003
WOS关键词GLOBAL WATER-RESOURCES ; EL-NINO ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; CHANGING CLIMATE ; OKAVANGO RIVER ; AFRICA ; FUTURE ; MODEL ; IMPACTS ; BASIN
WOS类目Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向Physical Geography
来源机构Arizona State University
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/169164
作者单位(1)Univ Botswana, Dept Agr Engn & Land Planning, Gaborone, Botswana
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Batisani, Nnyaladzi. Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana[J]. Arizona State University,2011,21(3):417-428.
APA Batisani, Nnyaladzi.(2011).Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,21(3),417-428.
MLA Batisani, Nnyaladzi."Spatio-temporal ephemeral streamflow as influenced by climate variability in Botswana".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 21.3(2011):417-428.
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