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STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN ISRAEL: AN APPLICATION OF CHANGE POINT DETECTION AND ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES
Gurevich, G.; Hadad, Y.; Ofir, A.; Ohayon, B.
通讯作者Gurevich, G.
来源期刊GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL
ISSN1790-7632
出版年2011
卷号13期号:3页码:215-228
英文摘要

The main goal of this study is to present and apply recently developed nonparametric change point detection and estimation techniques for confirming patterns of regional changes in temperature. Utilizing these methods, monthly temperatures (mean, mean maximum, mean minimum) and diurnal temperature ranges in different regions of Israel have been investigated over a period of 37-years, (1967-2003). The results were supported also by traditional statistical methods. The temperature and the diurnal temperature range analyses reveal a complex pattern of change. In particular, we found an increase in the monthly mean temperatures in the warm season in all areas of Israel approximately from the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s, namely, the summers have become warmer. Also detected was a significant increase in the monthly mean minimum temperature in Israel’s coastal plain area for all months of the year. Whereas, in mountainous and desert areas a significant increase in the monthly mean minimum temperature was detected only in months of the warm season. The winters have become warmer in the Israeli coastal plain and have not significantly changed in its mountainous and desert areas. In addition, in Israel’s coastal plain the monthly mean DTRs are decreasing, while in mountainous and desert areas the situation is reversed, that is, monthly mean DTRs are increasing.


英文关键词Regional Climatic Changes Diurnal Temperature Range Change Point Analysis Temperature Trends
类型Article
语种英语
国家Israel
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000300922400002
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TRENDS ; TESTS ; PATTERNS ; RANGE
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/168357
作者单位SCE Shamoon Coll Engn, Dept Ind Engn & Management, IL-84100 Beer Sheva, Israel
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gurevich, G.,Hadad, Y.,Ofir, A.,et al. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN ISRAEL: AN APPLICATION OF CHANGE POINT DETECTION AND ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES[J],2011,13(3):215-228.
APA Gurevich, G.,Hadad, Y.,Ofir, A.,&Ohayon, B..(2011).STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN ISRAEL: AN APPLICATION OF CHANGE POINT DETECTION AND ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES.GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL,13(3),215-228.
MLA Gurevich, G.,et al."STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE CHANGES IN ISRAEL: AN APPLICATION OF CHANGE POINT DETECTION AND ESTIMATION TECHNIQUES".GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL 13.3(2011):215-228.
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