Arid
DOI10.3112/erdkunde.2011.03.04
WILL THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN WEST COAST FOG BE AFFECTED BY FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE?
Haensler, Andreas1; Cermak, Jan2; Hagemann, Stefan1; Jacob, Daniela1
通讯作者Haensler, Andreas
来源期刊ERDKUNDE
ISSN0014-0015
出版年2011
卷号65期号:3页码:261-275
英文摘要

We present an initial study to project the long-term development of fog occurrence along the southern African west coast. For this purpose, we implemented a basic fog diagnostic scheme based on liquid water content into the regional climate model REMO. The validation of the fog diagnostic scheme is conducted using satellite-derived low cloud information as well as local station observations. The validation reveals that REMO is able to adequately represent the major fog characteristics in the region. The observed strong fog gradient from the coast to the regions further inland is correctly simulated by the model. Also, the seasonal as well as diurnal fog distribution characteristics are captured by REMO. However, some deficits still remain in the absolute amount of simulated fog days. These deficits can mainly be attributed to the coarse vertical resolution of the model as well as to the simple fog diagnostics approach chosen. Regarding the long-term development of fog, two 20-year time slice simulations for a control (1981 to 2000) and a future (2081 to 2100) period following the A1B emission scenario were conducted. The model generally projects a slight increase in the number of fog days for the coastal areas and a slight decrease for the regions located further inland. Especially the latter has the potential to exacerbate the existing water scarcity in the region.


英文关键词Fog modeling regional climate model downscaling Namib Desert satellite remote sensing Meteosat Second Generation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany ; Switzerland
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000297087800004
WOS关键词RADIATION FOG ; NAMIB DESERT ; MODEL ; PARAMETERIZATION ; PREDICTION ; VARIABILITY ; COLLECTION ; SIMULATION ; RESOLUTION ; IMPACT
WOS类目Geography ; Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向Geography ; Physical Geography
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/168038
作者单位1.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany;
2.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Haensler, Andreas,Cermak, Jan,Hagemann, Stefan,et al. WILL THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN WEST COAST FOG BE AFFECTED BY FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE?[J],2011,65(3):261-275.
APA Haensler, Andreas,Cermak, Jan,Hagemann, Stefan,&Jacob, Daniela.(2011).WILL THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN WEST COAST FOG BE AFFECTED BY FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE?.ERDKUNDE,65(3),261-275.
MLA Haensler, Andreas,et al."WILL THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN WEST COAST FOG BE AFFECTED BY FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE?".ERDKUNDE 65.3(2011):261-275.
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