Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3354/cr00993 |
Sensitivity of natural vegetation to climate change in the Euro-Mediterranean area | |
Anav, A.2; Mariotti, A.1 | |
通讯作者 | Anav, A. |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE RESEARCH
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ISSN | 0936-577X |
EISSN | 1616-1572 |
出版年 | 2011 |
卷号 | 46期号:3页码:277-292 |
英文摘要 | This study explores the sensitivity to future climate change of natural vegetation patterns in the Euro-Mediterranean area under the IPCC-A1B emission scenario, using a dynamic vegetation model forced by fully coupled high resolution regional ocean-atmosphere model simulations. Our results indicate that a future warmer climate could not only affect the regional terrestrial carbon cycle, but also significantly impact vegetation dynamics. Specifically, by 2021-2050, temperate deciduous vegetation is projected to replace boreal and grass vegetation in parts of northeastern Europe, while in North Africa, simulations show a progressive desertification. The changes in dominant vegetation are mainly related to the increased drought stress on vegetation and the enhanced fire frequency. As for the carbon cycle, large increases in net primary production (NPP) are found in northern Europe resulting from higher temperature and precipitation, as well as higher atmospheric CO2 levels. In contrast, smaller NPP increases are found in the Mediterranean region, where reduced precipitation and increased temperature leads to an increase in drought years and, hence, water-stress for vegetation. |
英文关键词 | Climate change Vegetation cover change Terrestrial carbon cycle Regional climate model |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA ; Italy |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000290957700007 |
WOS关键词 | CARBON-CYCLE FEEDBACKS ; LAND-COVER CHANGE ; GLOBAL VEGETATION ; TERRESTRIAL BIOSPHERE ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; PLANT GEOGRAPHY ; MODEL REGCM2 ; PART II ; SIMULATION ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/167629 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Maryland, Earth Syst Sci Interdisciplinary Ctr, College Pk, MD 20740 USA; 2.Energy & Sustainable Econ Dev ENEA, Italian Natl Agcy New Technol, I-00196 Rome, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Anav, A.,Mariotti, A.. Sensitivity of natural vegetation to climate change in the Euro-Mediterranean area[J],2011,46(3):277-292. |
APA | Anav, A.,&Mariotti, A..(2011).Sensitivity of natural vegetation to climate change in the Euro-Mediterranean area.CLIMATE RESEARCH,46(3),277-292. |
MLA | Anav, A.,et al."Sensitivity of natural vegetation to climate change in the Euro-Mediterranean area".CLIMATE RESEARCH 46.3(2011):277-292. |
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Sensitivity of natur(1519KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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