Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-010-0952-6 |
Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model | |
Franchito, Sergio H.1; Rao, V. Brahmananda1; Moraes, E. C.2 | |
通讯作者 | Franchito, Sergio H. |
来源期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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ISSN | 0930-7575 |
出版年 | 2011 |
卷号 | 37期号:9-10页码:2021-2034 |
英文摘要 | In this study, a zonally-averaged statistical climate model (SDM) is used to investigate the impact of global warming on the distribution of the geobotanic zones over the globe. The model includes a parameterization of the biogeophysical feedback mechanism that links the state of surface to the atmosphere (a bidirectional interaction between vegetation and climate). In the control experiment (simulation of the present-day climate) the geobotanic state is well simulated by the model, so that the distribution of the geobotanic zones over the globe shows a very good agreement with the observed ones. The impact of global warming on the distribution of the geobotanic zones is investigated considering the increase of CO2 concentration for the B1, A2 and A1FI scenarios. The results showed that the geobotanic zones over the entire earth can be modified in future due to global warming. Expansion of subtropical desert and semi-desert zones in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, retreat of glaciers and sea-ice, with the Arctic region being particularly affected and a reduction of the tropical rainforest and boreal forest can occur due to the increase of the greenhouse gases concentration. The effects were more pronounced in the A1FI and A2 scenarios compared with the B1 scenario. The SDM results confirm IPCC AR4 projections of future climate and are consistent with simulations of more complex GCMs, reinforcing the necessity of the mitigation of climate change associated to global warming. |
英文关键词 | Global warming Geobotanic zones distribution Statistical-dynamical model Interaction between the atmosphere and vegetation |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000296476600019 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-SURFACE ALTERATIONS ; AMAZONIAN DEFORESTATION ; NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT ; GENERAL-CIRCULATION ; FOREST DIEBACK ; ZONAL MODEL ; VEGETATION ; ATMOSPHERE ; BALANCE ; STATE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/167622 |
作者单位 | 1.Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, Ctr Ciencia Sistema Terrestre, CCST, BR-12245970 Sau Paulo, SP, Brazil; 2.Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, Div Sensoriamento Remoto, DSR, BR-12245970 Sau Paulo, SP, Brazil |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Franchito, Sergio H.,Rao, V. Brahmananda,Moraes, E. C.. Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model[J],2011,37(9-10):2021-2034. |
APA | Franchito, Sergio H.,Rao, V. Brahmananda,&Moraes, E. C..(2011).Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,37(9-10),2021-2034. |
MLA | Franchito, Sergio H.,et al."Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 37.9-10(2011):2021-2034. |
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