Arid
DOI10.1007/s00382-010-0952-6
Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model
Franchito, Sergio H.1; Rao, V. Brahmananda1; Moraes, E. C.2
通讯作者Franchito, Sergio H.
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
出版年2011
卷号37期号:9-10页码:2021-2034
英文摘要

In this study, a zonally-averaged statistical climate model (SDM) is used to investigate the impact of global warming on the distribution of the geobotanic zones over the globe. The model includes a parameterization of the biogeophysical feedback mechanism that links the state of surface to the atmosphere (a bidirectional interaction between vegetation and climate). In the control experiment (simulation of the present-day climate) the geobotanic state is well simulated by the model, so that the distribution of the geobotanic zones over the globe shows a very good agreement with the observed ones. The impact of global warming on the distribution of the geobotanic zones is investigated considering the increase of CO2 concentration for the B1, A2 and A1FI scenarios. The results showed that the geobotanic zones over the entire earth can be modified in future due to global warming. Expansion of subtropical desert and semi-desert zones in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, retreat of glaciers and sea-ice, with the Arctic region being particularly affected and a reduction of the tropical rainforest and boreal forest can occur due to the increase of the greenhouse gases concentration. The effects were more pronounced in the A1FI and A2 scenarios compared with the B1 scenario. The SDM results confirm IPCC AR4 projections of future climate and are consistent with simulations of more complex GCMs, reinforcing the necessity of the mitigation of climate change associated to global warming.


英文关键词Global warming Geobotanic zones distribution Statistical-dynamical model Interaction between the atmosphere and vegetation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Brazil
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000296476600019
WOS关键词LAND-SURFACE ALTERATIONS ; AMAZONIAN DEFORESTATION ; NUMERICAL EXPERIMENT ; GENERAL-CIRCULATION ; FOREST DIEBACK ; ZONAL MODEL ; VEGETATION ; ATMOSPHERE ; BALANCE ; STATE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/167622
作者单位1.Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, Ctr Ciencia Sistema Terrestre, CCST, BR-12245970 Sau Paulo, SP, Brazil;
2.Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, Div Sensoriamento Remoto, DSR, BR-12245970 Sau Paulo, SP, Brazil
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Franchito, Sergio H.,Rao, V. Brahmananda,Moraes, E. C.. Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model[J],2011,37(9-10):2021-2034.
APA Franchito, Sergio H.,Rao, V. Brahmananda,&Moraes, E. C..(2011).Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,37(9-10),2021-2034.
MLA Franchito, Sergio H.,et al."Impact of global warming on the geobotanic zones: an experiment with a statistical-dynamical climate model".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 37.9-10(2011):2021-2034.
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