Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-009-0145-6
Statistical downscaling estimation of recent rainfall trends in the eastern slope of the Andes mountain range in Argentina
Labraga, J. C.
通讯作者Labraga, J. C.
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
出版年2010
卷号99期号:3-4页码:287-302
英文摘要

Statistical models for rainfall downscaling based on multiple linear regression techniques have been developed and tested in the Andean Region of west Argentina, an extended mountainous region where three different rain regimes predominate and rainfall has great spatial and temporal variability. The verification procedure was focused on the model’s ability to reproduce observed rainfall trends in recent decades. In the northwest of Argentina, domain of the tropical summer rain regime, the monthly rainfall variance accounted for by downscaling models was 77% on average and models reproduced satisfactorily the negative linear trend observed in the last two decades of the past century. In the arid central-west Argentina, a region of rapid transition between two different rain regimes, model performance was rather poor (an average of 50% of explained variance), even so models were able to capture outstanding differences in the linear trend between the northern and southern sectors of the region. In the southwest of Argentina, domain of the mid-latitude winter rain regime, the monthly variance accounted for by downscaling models was 71% on average and models were capable to reproduce a singular change in the onset of the rainy season that occurred during the 1990s. The results achieved demonstrate that it is feasible to establish significant and useful statistical relationships between atmospheric variables and rainfall at monthly and river basin scales, even for a topographically complex region like western Argentina.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Argentina
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000272578700004
WOS关键词GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODELS ; SOUTH-AMERICA ; WINTER PRECIPITATION ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; CLIMATIC-CHANGE ; SUMMER SEASON ; EVENTS ; OSCILLATIONS ; SIMULATIONS ; STREAMFLOW
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/166536
作者单位(1)Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, Ctr Nacl Patagon, Puerto Madryn, Chubut, Argentina
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GB/T 7714
Labraga, J. C.. Statistical downscaling estimation of recent rainfall trends in the eastern slope of the Andes mountain range in Argentina[J],2010,99(3-4):287-302.
APA Labraga, J. C..(2010).Statistical downscaling estimation of recent rainfall trends in the eastern slope of the Andes mountain range in Argentina.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,99(3-4),287-302.
MLA Labraga, J. C.."Statistical downscaling estimation of recent rainfall trends in the eastern slope of the Andes mountain range in Argentina".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 99.3-4(2010):287-302.
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