Arid
DOI10.1073/pnas.0909651107
Water, climate change, and sustainability in the southwest
MacDonald, Glen M.1,2
通讯作者MacDonald, Glen M.
来源期刊PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN0027-8424
出版年2010
卷号107期号:50页码:21256-21262
英文摘要

The current Southwest drought is exceptional for its high temperatures and arguably the most severe in history. Coincidentally, there has been an increase in forest and woodland mortality due to fires and pathogenic outbreaks. Although the high temperatures and aridity are consistent with projected impacts of greenhouse warming, it is unclear whether the drought can be attributed to increased greenhouse gasses or is a product of natural climatic variability. Climate models indicate that the 21st century will be increasingly arid and droughts more severe and prolonged. Forest and woodland mortality due to fires and pathogens will increase. Demography and food security dictate that water demand in the Southwest will remain appreciable. If projected population growth is twinned with suburb-centered development, domestic demands will intensify. Meeting domestic demands through transference from agriculture presents concerns for rural sustainability and food security. Environmental concerns will limit additional transference from rivers. It is unlikely that traditional supply-side solutions such as more dams will securely meet demands at current per-capita levels. Significant savings in domestic usage can be realized through decreased applications of potable water to landscaping, but this is a small fraction of total regional water use, which is dominated by agriculture. Technical innovations, policy measures, and market-based solutions that increase supply and decrease water demand are all needed. Meeting 21st-century sustainability challenges in the Southwest will also require planning, cooperation, and integration that surpass 20th-century efforts in terms of geographic scope, jurisdictional breadth, multisectoral engagement, and the length of planning timelines.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000285521500010
WOS关键词NORTH-AMERICA ; 21ST-CENTURY DROUGHT ; DESALINATION ; CALIFORNIA ; US
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/166105
作者单位1.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Environm, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA;
2.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
MacDonald, Glen M.. Water, climate change, and sustainability in the southwest[J],2010,107(50):21256-21262.
APA MacDonald, Glen M..(2010).Water, climate change, and sustainability in the southwest.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,107(50),21256-21262.
MLA MacDonald, Glen M.."Water, climate change, and sustainability in the southwest".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 107.50(2010):21256-21262.
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