Arid
DOI10.5194/hess-14-2399-2010
Confirmation of ACRU model results for applications in land use and climate change studies
Warburton, M. L.; Schulze, R. E.; Jewitt, G. P. W.
通讯作者Warburton, M. L.
来源期刊HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN1027-5606
EISSN1607-7938
出版年2010
卷号14期号:12页码:2399-2414
英文摘要

The hydrological responses of a catchment are sensitive to, and strongly coupled to, land use and climate, and changes thereof. The hydrological responses to the impacts of changing land use and climate will be the result of complex interactions, where the change in one may moderate or exacerbate the effects of the other. Further difficulties in assessing these interactions are that dominant drivers of the hydrological system may vary at different spatial and temporal scales.


To assess these interactions, a process-based hydrological model, sensitive to land use and climate, and changes thereof, needs to be used. For this purpose the daily time step ACRU model was selected. However, to be able to use a hydrological model such as ACRU with confidence its representation of reality must be confirmed by comparing simulated output against observations across a range of climatic conditions. Comparison of simulated against observed streamflow was undertaken in three climatically diverse South African catchments, ranging from the semi-arid, sub-tropical Luvuvhu catchment, to the winter rainfall Upper Breede catchment and the sub-humid Mgeni catchment. Not only do the climates of the catchments differ, but their primary land uses also vary. In the upper areas of the Mgeni catchment commercial plantation forestry is dominant, while in the middle reaches there are significant areas of commercial plantation sugarcane and urban areas, while the lower reaches are dominated by urban areas. The Luvuvhu catchment has a large proportion of subsistence agriculture and informal residential areas. In the Upper Breede catchment in the Western Cape, commercial orchards and vineyards are the primary land uses.


Overall the ACRU model was able to represent the high, low and total flows, with satisfactory Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency indexes obtained for the selected catchments. The study concluded that the ACRU model can be used with confidence to simulate the streamflows of the three selected catchments and was able to represent the hydrological responses from the range of climates and diversity of land uses present within the catchments.


类型Article
语种英语
国家South Africa
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000285576800003
WOS关键词HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSES ; RIVER-BASIN ; CATCHMENT ; IMPACTS ; VERIFICATION ; COVER ; VALIDATION ; SIMULATION ; SCENARIOS ; DISCHARGE
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/164541
作者单位Univ KwaZulu Natal, Sch Bioresources Engn & Environm Hydrol, ZA-3209 Scottsville, South Africa
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Warburton, M. L.,Schulze, R. E.,Jewitt, G. P. W.. Confirmation of ACRU model results for applications in land use and climate change studies[J],2010,14(12):2399-2414.
APA Warburton, M. L.,Schulze, R. E.,&Jewitt, G. P. W..(2010).Confirmation of ACRU model results for applications in land use and climate change studies.HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,14(12),2399-2414.
MLA Warburton, M. L.,et al."Confirmation of ACRU model results for applications in land use and climate change studies".HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 14.12(2010):2399-2414.
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